South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d49272b7706428a2beaf3cb13bfcd757d8fb1dc2f2492227fc0a9cf6e0f5168
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,292 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 22c | 3,002$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.42 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 7c | 1,258$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.4 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,249$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.23 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39b…eb0dbacked No | 79c | 1,123$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.58 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…fc29backed Yes | 2c | 829.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 22c | 750$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.18 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 21c | 673.72$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.48 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 78c | 403.02$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.66 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 370.26$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b67…525dbacked Yes | 6c | 342.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 79c | 311.48$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.41 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…73e2backed Yes | 4c | 282.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 257.27$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.6 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 78c | 250.68$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.15 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b1…536dbacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 20c | 205.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 20c | 189.04$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 21c | 150.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 76c | 145.31$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe32…0300backed Yes | 23c | 88.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 78c | 88$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 19c | 64.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a68…22dfbacked Yes | 22c | 63.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…a0b6backed Yes | 22c | 61.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 78c | 52.48$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6f…e57cbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 78c | 49.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed No | 79c | 39.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b15…7af7backed No | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 78c | 27.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f13…6a96backed No | 78c | 17.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked No | 80c | 12.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.53 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will CA Paranaense vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-03-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.