TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: REKONIX vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
REKONIXof REKONIX, Tundra Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,274
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$163,261

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,274 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8479…40dfbacked REKONIX30c21,532$6,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,073.910751.4%55 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfaf…d959backed REKONIX15c13,277$1,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,289.086541.5%27 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports75c12,498$9,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,393.462,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4574…273dbacked REKONIX12c4,092$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,610.0512630.2%38 W · 88 L-13.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbeab…d961backed Tundra Esports13c3,800$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.996431.3%20 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2b7…500fbacked Tundra Esports62c3,106$1,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,925.682737%10 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x449f…cf01backed REKONIX38c3,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,859.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports45c2,299$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.51,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked REKONIX64c2,060$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.196645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked Tundra Esports37c1,878$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Tundra Esports49c1,779$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.3145750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Tundra Esports50c1,615$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.431,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed REKONIX14c1,494$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.4242650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked REKONIX34c1,394$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.0436851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed REKONIX13c1,360$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.1888539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Tundra Esports53c1,249$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.951,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed REKONIX13c1,112$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.048137%30 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0738…6392backed Tundra Esports52c1,001$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.4421264.2%136 W · 76 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Tundra Esports37c1,000$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36517133.9%58 W · 113 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80f0…5576backed Tundra Esports62c999.99$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed REKONIX14c999.96$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.9622727.3%62 W · 165 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Tundra Esports76c981.57$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.6822363.2%141 W · 82 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed REKONIX48c980.99$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.5144645.7%204 W · 242 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9976…59acbacked Tundra Esports16c935$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.272540%10 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8be…3d54backed REKONIX15c900$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7659951.5%51 W · 48 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Tundra Esports43c886.09$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.7477256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ebb…8551backed REKONIX66c879$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.76683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Tundra Esports50c868.42$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.110735.5%38 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c70…9a6cbacked Tundra Esports30c851.72$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.23742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked REKONIX46c798.07$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.811,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed REKONIX67c696.99$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.251,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed Tundra Esports62c645.16$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40046049.8%229 W · 231 L+2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed REKONIX43c637.54$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.416147.2%76 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Tundra Esports20c564.63$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.5137832.5%123 W · 255 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed REKONIX37c556.8$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.7929143.6%127 W · 164 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Tundra Esports60c554.98$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.1280443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac51…a1fbbacked Tundra Esports5c530$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.63429.4%10 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-40.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked REKONIX38c522.68$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.0661449.5%304 W · 310 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed REKONIX14c499.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.9910048%48 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Tundra Esports50c430$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.0753139.5%210 W · 321 L-37.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked REKONIX67c399$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.0322543.6%98 W · 127 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba91…e999backed REKONIX38c394.74$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.74520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-47.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked REKONIX12c390$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.4916550.3%83 W · 82 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8b3…494ebacked REKONIX17c385.29$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.79333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+96.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Tundra Esports53c379.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20096245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b63…bdd3backed REKONIX15c371.22$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.22450%2 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+164.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed Tundra Esports76c367.55$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.0814652.1%76 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf353…692abacked Tundra Esports56c359.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-52.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Tundra Esports29c354.87$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.2171342.5%303 W · 410 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40db…ca8cbacked REKONIX65c330.61$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6854058.9%318 W · 222 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44e9…ec97backed Tundra Esports63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001931.6%6 W · 13 L-4.6wins-0.24per pick56cpaid-52.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed Tundra Esports63c314.4$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9613551.9%70 W · 65 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed REKONIX11c305.36$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.7711947.1%56 W · 63 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86ba…2cf3backed REKONIX13c292.31$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+669.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Tundra Esports74c291.8$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.3158943%253 W · 336 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked REKONIX38c289.47$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.4748539.2%190 W · 295 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed REKONIX69c288.77$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.7741655.3%230 W · 186 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb97e…262bbacked REKONIX49c286.26$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.2652649.2%259 W · 267 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb16d…1941backed REKONIX38c279.47$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+50.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Tundra Esports49c276.01$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.356548%271 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked Tundra Esports55c254.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.328050%140 W · 140 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa157…8641backed Tundra Esports60c251.19$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506131.1%19 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3329…6c52backed Tundra Esports70c250$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed REKONIX40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15057735%202 W · 375 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Tundra Esports44c241.66$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.261,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed REKONIX63c237.22$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.5512054.2%65 W · 55 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Tundra Esports36c223.5$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4689938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x252f…6fe5backed REKONIX66c216.86$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Tundra Esports17c214$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3817648.3%85 W · 91 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed Tundra Esports47c205.85$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.816242.6%69 W · 93 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed REKONIX42c205$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.923342.9%100 W · 133 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d42…cde0backed Tundra Esports66c200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1325038%19 W · 31 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed REKONIX14c200$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17253634%182 W · 354 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed Tundra Esports57c200$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11592561.2%566 W · 359 L+53.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Tundra Esports51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017443.7%76 W · 98 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports56c182.11$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.042,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked REKONIX66c177.52$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.941,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed REKONIX63c174.76$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6620740.1%83 W · 124 L-14.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked REKONIX50c173.41$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.381,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Tundra Esports55c173.08$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b09…f89fbacked Tundra Esports60c163.98$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.39922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-56.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd4fa…4a86backed REKONIX13c162.51$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.89277.4%2 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-52.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Tundra Esports62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10086451.7%447 W · 417 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x219c…fed6backed REKONIX33c161$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.233033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Tundra Esports80c156.3$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25d6…2998backed Tundra Esports51c146.93$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Tundra Esports23c143.48$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3341248.8%201 W · 211 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed REKONIX64c135.92$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9327636.2%100 W · 176 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Tundra Esports42c134.02$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.911,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked REKONIX15c133.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.3359254.1%320 W · 272 L+1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Tundra Esports36c130.24$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6889749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed REKONIX39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2167555%371 W · 304 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Tundra Esports48c127.5$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.821,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Tundra Esports27c126.67$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3431126%81 W · 230 L-17.5wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x62b7…f260backed Tundra Esports32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020735.3%73 W · 134 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Tundra Esports34c124.66$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5968649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed REKONIX40c118.43$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.063148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe2ae…c34fbacked Tundra Esports36c115.04$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414540%18 W · 27 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-30%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5874…f58fbacked Tundra Esports63c108.97$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.65650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafb4…ebf7backed REKONIX46c105.67$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.562240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.