Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06e33e5c33dc500fa161cc02020e31f4b9d73f23baf60b3f75dd146bb6df7608
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REKONIXof REKONIX, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $212,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $257,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 25,038$17,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,128.46 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Tundra Esports | 24c | 12,232$2,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890.73 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked REKONIX | 31c | 9,867$3,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,768.35 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked REKONIX | 22c | 7,750$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,046.21 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed REKONIX | 24c | 7,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,319.94 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 6,890$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 6,836$4,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,098.17 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked REKONIX | 24c | 5,892$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,477.67 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 5,641$3,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,481 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 4,995$3,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,796.2 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked REKONIX | 31c | 3,500$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,409.99 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Tundra Esports | 75c | 3,452$2,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,581.41 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked REKONIX | 31c | 3,250$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.47 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed REKONIX | 53c | 3,005$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.99 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed REKONIX | 47c | 2,768$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.45 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked REKONIX | 58c | 2,715$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.23 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked REKONIX | 24c | 2,562$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.47 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 2,518$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.78 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed REKONIX | 31c | 2,500$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.99 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed REKONIX | 76c | 2,306$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.63 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 2,180$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.86 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked REKONIX | 48c | 1,885$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.61 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Tundra Esports | 76c | 1,740$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.4 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed REKONIX | 24c | 1,596$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.65 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 1,534$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.84 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed REKONIX | 79c | 1,369$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.2 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Tundra Esports | 19c | 1,335$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.53 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed REKONIX | 44c | 1,326$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.75 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Tundra Esports | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Tundra Esports | 7c | 1,150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed REKONIX | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.11 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Tundra Esports | 47c | 1,037$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.67 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed REKONIX | 24c | 1,008$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.22 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c66…c204backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked REKONIX | 75c | 999.99$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed REKONIX | 57c | 953.33$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.88 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Tundra Esports | 26c | 885.22$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.22 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 823.33$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.43 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Tundra Esports | 18c | 750$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…6091backed REKONIX | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.74 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Tundra Esports | 29c | 694.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed REKONIX | 54c | 690.04$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.86 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 683.19$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.71 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed REKONIX | 75c | 654.95$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.59 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked REKONIX | 24c | 628.73$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.83 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked REKONIX | 59c | 625.5$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.65 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed REKONIX | 25c | 600$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Tundra Esports | 7c | 594.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed REKONIX | 24c | 582.95$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.04 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed REKONIX | 76c | 533$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.34 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked REKONIX | 27c | 530$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.9 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked REKONIX | 32c | 516.89$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.53 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tundra Esports | 74c | 500$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.55 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 499.87$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.36 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed REKONIX | 24c | 443.84$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.32 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked REKONIX | 68c | 440.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.61 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed REKONIX | 50c | 434$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.38 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed REKONIX | 38c | 425.58$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.84 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 424.66$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.76 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Tundra Esports | 21c | 418.41$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.67 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 406.89$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.68 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked REKONIX | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.33 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…695dbacked REKONIX | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8be…3d54backed REKONIX | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Tundra Esports | 72c | 384.74$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.62 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Tundra Esports | 79c | 380.89$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed REKONIX | 64c | 378.05$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.1 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed REKONIX | 58c | 354.68$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.35 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…cc95backed REKONIX | 28c | 340$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.8 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 63c | 333.71$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.04 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed REKONIX | 21c | 333.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.33 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Tundra Esports | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Tundra Esports | 13c | 330$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…bdbebacked Tundra Esports | 76c | 328.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.97 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9c…b01cbacked REKONIX | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed REKONIX | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed REKONIX | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked REKONIX | 25c | 288.31$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.85 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…c1cfbacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 256.02$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.29 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Tundra Esports | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked REKONIX | 33c | 250$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Tundra Esports | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.88 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…9b78backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 249.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tundra Esports | 75c | 245.61$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.18 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Tundra Esports | 22c | 244.72$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Tundra Esports | 13c | 227$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Tundra Esports | 77c | 226.94$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.84 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed REKONIX | 32c | 219$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.92 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed94…c059backed REKONIX | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +325.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed REKONIX | 50c | 217$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.19 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +26.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed REKONIX | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +15.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked REKONIX | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 176 | 36.9%65 W · 111 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed REKONIX | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed REKONIX | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +15.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed REKONIX | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Tundra Esports | 16c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed REKONIX | 47c | 198.8$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked REKONIX | 58c | 190$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.67 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…8ad8backed REKONIX | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group BREKONIX won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 WinnerREKONIX won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs REKONIX (+1.5)REKONIX won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.