TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: FOKUS Sakura vs G2 Gozen (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
G2 Gozenof FOKUS Sakura, G2 Gozen
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,464
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,319

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,464 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6b97…8d30backed FOKUS Sakura47c8,732$4,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,088.1919860.6%120 W · 78 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked G2 Gozen61c2,795$1,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.911,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked FOKUS Sakura29c1,874$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.910628.3%30 W · 76 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c2b…825ebacked G2 Gozen40c1,729$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.766154.1%33 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5944…764ebacked G2 Gozen46c1,094$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.274163.4%26 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed FOKUS Sakura39c1,061$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.7325556.1%143 W · 112 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed FOKUS Sakura47c1,038$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4841838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed G2 Gozen62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38014158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xedde…0e96backed G2 Gozen61c999.99$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3902857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked G2 Gozen61c968.68$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.5328743.2%124 W · 163 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0328…bd17backed G2 Gozen62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.457456.8%42 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e8a…61c3backed G2 Gozen52c788.13$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.13683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed FOKUS Sakura44c711.14$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.3226051.9%135 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked G2 Gozen52c708.99$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.616647%31 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x461b…38ffbacked FOKUS Sakura40c670.54$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2704864.6%31 W · 17 L+8.9wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+44.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x197f…7cc5backed FOKUS Sakura39c646.46$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507749.4%38 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked G2 Gozen61c643.19$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.847044.3%31 W · 39 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed G2 Gozen61c589.31$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.835156.9%29 W · 22 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe7dd…bcd0backed G2 Gozen40c561.78$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.07540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed FOKUS Sakura39c516.17$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014941.6%62 W · 87 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5008…9466backed FOKUS Sakura36c502.55$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.614434.1%15 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-37.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed G2 Gozen62c458.31$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.1639646%182 W · 214 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked G2 Gozen60c413.27$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.48825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-43.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…f7dbbacked FOKUS Sakura28c400$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.3116241.4%67 W · 95 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd9e…8f17backed G2 Gozen62c397$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5e7…a100backed G2 Gozen62c391.5$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.77250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed G2 Gozen52c371.13$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.951,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked FOKUS Sakura65c346.76$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.654353.5%23 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked G2 Gozen50c331.8$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.9757151%291 W · 280 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed FOKUS Sakura39c323.98$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.7314938.3%57 W · 92 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked G2 Gozen62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5862856.4%354 W · 274 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked FOKUS Sakura48c309.73$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.411,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed FOKUS Sakura36c278$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8823733.8%80 W · 157 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…f09ebacked G2 Gozen73c269.95$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.955048%24 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf9b…2013backed G2 Gozen37c261.4$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.2818735.3%66 W · 121 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed G2 Gozen39c256.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.474647.8%22 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked FOKUS Sakura51c223.29$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.6233947.8%162 W · 177 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed FOKUS Sakura18c220.38$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9869722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xdc96…2791backed G2 Gozen37c214.71$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.111752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+61.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed G2 Gozen55c211.26$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.617557.1%100 W · 75 L+15.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x41bb…26e8backed G2 Gozen65c209.46$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.853450%17 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed G2 Gozen53c205$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.3812640.5%51 W · 75 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed G2 Gozen55c187.57$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.221,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked G2 Gozen49c182.61$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9970043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22a7…ca43backed FOKUS Sakura63c170.14$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.754242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked FOKUS Sakura50c164.36$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.26235.5%22 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabe6…2faebacked G2 Gozen76c163.76$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.932853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcda7…af42backed G2 Gozen62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.294860.4%29 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed G2 Gozen41c160.66$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.98960.7%54 W · 35 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked FOKUS Sakura18c159.94$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.942025%5 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed FOKUS Sakura25c155.5$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.485937.3%22 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x92df…7a08backed G2 Gozen53c151.72$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7210151.5%52 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa2…5df6backed FOKUS Sakura67c150$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001850%9 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadcd…29e9backed G2 Gozen68c146.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed G2 Gozen60c137.5$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8423732.9%78 W · 159 L-20.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked G2 Gozen64c129.97$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.41,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed FOKUS Sakura68c120.25$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2115931.4%50 W · 109 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd1a…5375backed FOKUS Sakura14c120$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171030%3 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick18cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed FOKUS Sakura34c120$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.979046.7%42 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed G2 Gozen58c101.45$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0414852.7%78 W · 70 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd83…d102backed G2 Gozen62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382070%14 W · 6 L+4.4wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+57.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x475f…82d7backed FOKUS Sakura65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+10.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed G2 Gozen68c98$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8366438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed G2 Gozen41c97.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.551850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed FOKUS Sakura44c94$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5419439.2%76 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed G2 Gozen61c93.74$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5663447.9%304 W · 330 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed G2 Gozen47c92.1$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8574642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed FOKUS Sakura58c91.01$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1481134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3211…9ee3backed FOKUS Sakura45c90.83$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.55538.2%21 W · 34 L-7.9wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-35.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3237…571ebacked FOKUS Sakura14c87.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-55%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf647…0ccbbacked G2 Gozen54c85.27$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.974955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+33.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked G2 Gozen62c83.48$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d33…6715backed G2 Gozen51c79.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.26536.9%24 W · 41 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x11f6…d13ebacked G2 Gozen62c79.51$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe95…1a93backed G2 Gozen62c75.24$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.591957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e5b…fc11backed G2 Gozen62c75.16$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.452564%16 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked FOKUS Sakura46c70.75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.732157.6%185 W · 136 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef1e…2f37backed G2 Gozen37c70.16$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.061770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+86%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd385…34fbbacked G2 Gozen62c66.08$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.113655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fdc…8897backed G2 Gozen41c65.31$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+141.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x493e…d38bbacked G2 Gozen69c65.14$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.141872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked G2 Gozen66c62.33$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.296038.3%23 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf49a…8981backed G2 Gozen69c61.74$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.035545.5%25 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked G2 Gozen59c59.78$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3684838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7f4…106cbacked G2 Gozen59c57.43$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.42742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf08e…1256backed FOKUS Sakura51c56.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.842347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x277b…31fabacked FOKUS Sakura41c51$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.164953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cef…dbcbbacked G2 Gozen60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2020347.3%96 W · 107 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed FOKUS Sakura35c48.72$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0321641.7%90 W · 126 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked FOKUS Sakura50c48.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1322352.9%118 W · 105 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed G2 Gozen39c48.47$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6593049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed G2 Gozen61c48.05$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8318647.8%89 W · 97 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked G2 Gozen55c46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.634738.3%18 W · 29 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-32.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4ff4…93e2backed FOKUS Sakura36c43.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3546…1a58backed FOKUS Sakura24c41.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106826.5%18 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5c9…de73backed FOKUS Sakura37c41.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd48…0ea2backed FOKUS Sakura43c40.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.42552%13 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4738…e64abacked G2 Gozen57c40.4$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.311338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed FOKUS Sakura47c40.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.165347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ed8…2c70backed FOKUS Sakura39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513261.4%81 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.