Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FOKUS Sakura vs G2 Gozen - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4b1ae2adb8f88f672ddf2e377670e0423b187ce33773a0f07699c1270277048
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FOKUS Sakuraof FOKUS Sakura, G2 Gozen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d66…ff1dbacked FOKUS Sakura | 67c | 901.38$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked G2 Gozen | 38c | 794.71$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.6 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed FOKUS Sakura | 60c | 472.64$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.97 | 34 | 85.3%29 W · 5 L | +10.4wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4b…0113backed G2 Gozen | 72c | 449.58$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed FOKUS Sakura | 28c | 316.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.03 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed G2 Gozen | 13c | 267$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed G2 Gozen | 36c | 224$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.74 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed FOKUS Sakura | 30c | 221$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.9 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked G2 Gozen | 27c | 214.5$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.26 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked G2 Gozen | 55c | 212.71$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.58 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked G2 Gozen | 41c | 181.13$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked G2 Gozen | 35c | 157.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed G2 Gozen | 33c | 147$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22a7…ca43backed G2 Gozen | 20c | 136.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked G2 Gozen | 45c | 122$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked G2 Gozen | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…38ffbacked FOKUS Sakura | 22c | 77.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +8.9wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed G2 Gozen | 15c | 75.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed FOKUS Sakura | 30c | 73.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked G2 Gozen | 49c | 64.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed G2 Gozen | 23c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked G2 Gozen | 57c | 54.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 339 | 47.8%162 W · 177 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed FOKUS Sakura | 36c | 54.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked G2 Gozen | 69c | 44.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked G2 Gozen | 34c | 43.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -18.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed FOKUS Sakura | 47c | 43.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed FOKUS Sakura | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…6715backed G2 Gozen | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9b…9ddebacked FOKUS Sakura | 73c | 39.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e8…f707backed G2 Gozen | 60c | 23.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92df…7a08backed G2 Gozen | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FOKUS Sakura vs G2 Gozen - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: FOKUS Sakura vs G2 Gozen (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA PlayoffsG2 Gozen won
- Valorant: FOKUS Sakura vs G2 Gozen - Map 2 WinnerG2 Gozen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.