Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FOKUS Sakura vs G2 Gozen - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f0baf52df59595798d24d36f8e1c5a06287c4e5cf25d3a6e5c8313e65d24938
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Gozenof FOKUS Sakura, G2 Gozen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed FOKUS Sakura | 56c | 1,187$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.37 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d66…ff1dbacked FOKUS Sakura | 50c | 1,185$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked FOKUS Sakura | 13c | 1,161$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.71 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…61c3backed G2 Gozen | 60c | 900.99$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed G2 Gozen | 54c | 810.72$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.95 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed G2 Gozen | 52c | 732.97$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.33 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5008…9466backed FOKUS Sakura | 13c | 521.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.29 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4b…0113backed G2 Gozen | 46c | 520.74$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked FOKUS Sakura | 48c | 505.72$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.75 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…1ae2backed FOKUS Sakura | 44c | 357.35$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.23 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed FOKUS Sakura | 29c | 350.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b9…ad06backed FOKUS Sakura | 61c | 316$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.75 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a7…ca43backed G2 Gozen | 45c | 211.76$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.72 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked G2 Gozen | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 339 | 47.8%162 W · 177 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked G2 Gozen | 57c | 196.62$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.01 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked G2 Gozen | 50c | 192.13$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.43 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73bb…a7d5backed G2 Gozen | 61c | 182.79$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…38ffbacked FOKUS Sakura | 56c | 177.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +8.9wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed G2 Gozen | 56c | 176.04$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.61 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed G2 Gozen | 53c | 166.26$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.14 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked FOKUS Sakura | 45c | 141.94$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed FOKUS Sakura | 11c | 114$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbd48…0ea2backed FOKUS Sakura | 59c | 111.09$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.87 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked G2 Gozen | 58c | 96.43$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked G2 Gozen | 68c | 79.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed G2 Gozen | 56c | 65.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked G2 Gozen | 76c | 59.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed FOKUS Sakura | 40c | 52.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…6715backed FOKUS Sakura | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed G2 Gozen | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed FOKUS Sakura | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…f0b2backed G2 Gozen | 60c | 41.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked G2 Gozen | 66c | 41.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ce…3f1dbacked G2 Gozen | 55c | 36.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked G2 Gozen | 64c | 34.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 321 | 57.6%185 W · 136 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9e…e450backed FOKUS Sakura | 52c | 32.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed G2 Gozen | 59c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked G2 Gozen | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed G2 Gozen | 49c | 25.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed G2 Gozen | 73c | 16.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x395a…eb72backed G2 Gozen | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FOKUS Sakura vs G2 Gozen - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: FOKUS Sakura vs G2 Gozen (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA PlayoffsG2 Gozen won
- Valorant: FOKUS Sakura vs G2 Gozen - Map 1 WinnerFOKUS Sakura won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.