Valorant · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fb55444ddf524b778078c0aa39d17187f730c1cc9d243cc7fff4eba0a238e3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8115…103bbacked Over | 80c | 618.04$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 20c | 578.15$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.63 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 51c | 564.22$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.75 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 46c | 470.22$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.68 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 345.1$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.55 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Under | 55c | 338.91$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Over | 49c | 302.37$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.21 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…3e7ebacked Over | 49c | 289.8$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.8 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Under | 50c | 221.84$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.92 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed8…2c70backed Over | 50c | 181.74$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.92 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 53c | 161$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.19 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…42c7backed Under | 53c | 131.47$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 52c | 126.01$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…da03backed Under | 53c | 102.54$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…f2eabacked Under | 52c | 84.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 56c | 66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Over | 50c | 60.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 168 | 39.3%66 W · 102 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1585…c3b7backed Over | 50c | 50.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Over | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…4e03backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 51c | 22.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 51c | 20.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…62e6backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Map Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)Evil Geniuses won
- Valorant: Cloud9 vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-InEvil Geniuses won
- Valorant: Cloud9 vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 WinnerCloud9 won
- Valorant: Cloud9 vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 WinnerEvil Geniuses won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.