Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffdacbd874e6077ee3d84587f2534113682ae99f303d39142c9c3c634734c14c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Evil Geniusesof Cloud9, Evil Geniuses
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Cloud9 | 44c | 4,082$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.74 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Evil Geniuses | 56c | 1,429$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.57 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Evil Geniuses | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.43 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Evil Geniuses | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Evil Geniuses | 56c | 410.25$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.51 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Evil Geniuses | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…56a1backed Cloud9 | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Evil Geniuses | 56c | 319.14$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.46 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Evil Geniuses | 56c | 248.21$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.21 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Evil Geniuses | 68c | 228$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Evil Geniuses | 71c | 165.87$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 639 | 48%307 W · 332 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…42dcbacked Cloud9 | 29c | 165.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff95…9064backed Cloud9 | 32c | 153$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Cloud9 | 32c | 88.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 321 | 52.6%169 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Cloud9 | 33c | 59.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 171 | 39.8%68 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Evil Geniuses | 55c | 56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Cloud9 | 45c | 54.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Evil Geniuses | 56c | 49.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Evil Geniuses | 73c | 49.42$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…db66backed Evil Geniuses | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Evil Geniuses | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Cloud9 | 49c | 27.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 494 | 55.3%273 W · 221 L | +23.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: Cloud9 vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-InEvil Geniuses won
- Valorant: Cloud9 vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 WinnerCloud9 won
- Valorant: Cloud9 vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 WinnerEvil Geniuses won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.