Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x263afdbe6709107f81e1fe4bb0c74837674b5b991e3a7aeed418ec9a51f44979
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cloud9of Cloud9, Evil Geniuses
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Evil Geniuses | 44c | 30,000$13,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,099.99 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Cloud9 | 56c | 18,646$10,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,292.05 | 255 | 54.9%140 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Cloud9 | 58c | 9,888$5,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,152.93 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Evil Geniuses | 32c | 8,102$2,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,595.77 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Cloud9 | 63c | 5,226$3,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.56 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Evil Geniuses | 12c | 2,102$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.21 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Evil Geniuses | 40c | 1,751$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.36 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…a7e4backed Cloud9 | 62c | 1,717$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Cloud9 | 67c | 1,386$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.48 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Evil Geniuses | 35c | 1,362$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.41 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Evil Geniuses | 43c | 1,357$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.59 | 281 | 43.4%122 W · 159 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Evil Geniuses | 4c | 1,289$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…67ffbacked Cloud9 | 55c | 1,287$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Evil Geniuses | 3c | 1,140$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…bd17backed Cloud9 | 74c | 1,128$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.83 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Cloud9 | 56c | 1,058$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.73 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed Cloud9 | 71c | 685.57$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.57 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…d902backed Cloud9 | 67c | 639.34$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.35 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb64d…7392backed Evil Geniuses | 41c | 543.24$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed Evil Geniuses | 30c | 413.31$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.89 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Cloud9 | 57c | 399.6$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.83 | 84 | 81%68 W · 16 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Cloud9 | 77c | 345.84$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.22 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Cloud9 | 77c | 295.95$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.09 | 224 | 55.4%124 W · 100 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…3fe0backed Cloud9 | 74c | 265.08$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.69 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Cloud9 | 69c | 263.26$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.95 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae26…fdb3backed Cloud9 | 69c | 242.15$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Evil Geniuses | 28c | 239.75$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.29 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Cloud9 | 66c | 237.53$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…c12abacked Evil Geniuses | 8c | 236.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Evil Geniuses | 42c | 221.6$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.07 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8093…9d0dbacked Evil Geniuses | 16c | 187.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…1ae2backed Cloud9 | 56c | 179.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…7cbcbacked Evil Geniuses | 20c | 164.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Cloud9 | 75c | 136$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed Cloud9 | 75c | 133.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Evil Geniuses | 26c | 119.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 164 | 20.1%33 W · 131 L | -20.1wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Cloud9 | 69c | 110$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…bcf8backed Cloud9 | 71c | 106.54$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Evil Geniuses | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Evil Geniuses | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7c…8b29backed Cloud9 | 59c | 98.87$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eba…c7d7backed Cloud9 | 59c | 97.19$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…f2eabacked Cloud9 | 54c | 86.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Evil Geniuses | 29c | 72.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a18…dac8backed Cloud9 | 67c | 71.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Evil Geniuses | 27c | 71.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb46…ed08backed Evil Geniuses | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc691…3eebbacked Evil Geniuses | 43c | 69.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Cloud9 | 75c | 68.56$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Cloud9 | 70c | 61.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Cloud9 | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Evil Geniuses | 35c | 54.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…ecfabacked Cloud9 | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Cloud9 | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d7…a1ffbacked Evil Geniuses | 41c | 41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41c0…f498backed Cloud9 | 74c | 40.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbafd…4898backed Evil Geniuses | 45c | 37.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…028abacked Cloud9 | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Cloud9 | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked Cloud9 | 65c | 19.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Cloud9 | 78c | 16.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed Cloud9 | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Cloud9 vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)Evil Geniuses won
- Valorant: Cloud9 vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-InEvil Geniuses won
- Valorant: Cloud9 vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 WinnerEvil Geniuses won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.