Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs SK Nebula - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8c69ea7d88af97c065ecd511bf99e971e712d96ff1ea5e85c6ecaddab7afd75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Mates GCof Gentle Mates GC, SK Nebula
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked SK Nebula | 38c | 754.56$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.13 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…38ffbacked Gentle Mates GC | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +8.9wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked Gentle Mates GC | 63c | 233.7$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…26e8backed Gentle Mates GC | 64c | 223.47$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.24 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed SK Nebula | 33c | 203.52$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.33 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…2501backed Gentle Mates GC | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed SK Nebula | 42c | 187.53$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.76 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Gentle Mates GC | 62c | 161.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.54 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked SK Nebula | 26c | 120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SK Nebula | 23c | 100.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked SK Nebula | 42c | 71.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Gentle Mates GC | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Gentle Mates GC | 72c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked SK Nebula | 40c | 46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed8…2c70backed Gentle Mates GC | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked SK Nebula | 33c | 34.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8c…10eebacked Gentle Mates GC | 62c | 23.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92df…7a08backed Gentle Mates GC | 75c | 19.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Gentle Mates GC | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9122…50e6backed Gentle Mates GC | 72c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs SK Nebula - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA PlayoffsGentle Mates GC won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs SK Nebula - Map 1 WinnerSK Nebula won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.