Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs SK Nebula - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72b2bf1a42d5520d2b76067ca94ed2c7b2ec743253ce1f71ce786afc808d649e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SK Nebulaof Gentle Mates GC, SK Nebula
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1186…0355backed SK Nebula | 62c | 585.08$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.41 | 34 | 85.3%29 W · 5 L | +10.4wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Gentle Mates GC | 24c | 290.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Gentle Mates GC | 38c | 220$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.38 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Gentle Mates GC | 39c | 168.87$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…26e8backed SK Nebula | 74c | 144.93$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Gentle Mates GC | 27c | 120.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Gentle Mates GC | 30c | 118$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked SK Nebula | 44c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 281 | 43.4%122 W · 159 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92df…7a08backed Gentle Mates GC | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Gentle Mates GC | 56c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Gentle Mates GC | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…2791backed Gentle Mates GC | 38c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked SK Nebula | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked SK Nebula | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Gentle Mates GC | 54c | 24.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed SK Nebula | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SK Nebula | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs SK Nebula - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA PlayoffsGentle Mates GC won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs SK Nebula - Map 2 WinnerGentle Mates GC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.