Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: FS (-1.5) vs QT DIG∞ (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60b6baedc24cb7d56e2d17e7c7e8145708c39dede05ba87f4361faea43683fbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- QT DIG∞of FULL SENSE, QT DIG∞
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed QT DIG∞ | 55c | 650$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed FULL SENSE | 43c | 550.17$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.57 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed FULL SENSE | 45c | 522$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.68 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed QT DIG∞ | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…0f3abacked QT DIG∞ | 53c | 409.37$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.79 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed FULL SENSE | 47c | 332.9$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.76 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed QT DIG∞ | 53c | 212.94$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.08 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…3e7ebacked FULL SENSE | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…1222backed QT DIG∞ | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +7.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed FULL SENSE | 47c | 185.11$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked FULL SENSE | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked FULL SENSE | 46c | 145.04$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.36 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed FULL SENSE | 46c | 142.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.42 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f6…d13ebacked FULL SENSE | 52c | 116.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed QT DIG∞ | 56c | 78.51$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed QT DIG∞ | 56c | 59.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked QT DIG∞ | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed QT DIG∞ | 54c | 45.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c65…2e0dbacked QT DIG∞ | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed FULL SENSE | 42c | 43.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7dd…12f0backed QT DIG∞ | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed QT DIG∞ | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked QT DIG∞ | 56c | 36.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed QT DIG∞ | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked QT DIG∞ | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FS (-1.5) vs QT DIG∞ (+1.5)this page
- Valorant: FULL SENSE vs QT DIG∞ (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-InFULL SENSE won
- Valorant: FULL SENSE vs QT DIG∞ - Map 1 WinnerFULL SENSE won
- Valorant: FULL SENSE vs QT DIG∞ - Map 2 WinnerQT DIG∞ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.