TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Vanderbilt Commodores

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vanderbilt Commodoresof Alabama Crimson Tide, Vanderbilt Commodores
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$174,805
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$182,968

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,805 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe73e…74febacked Vanderbilt Commodores60c100,000$60,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,0004252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed Alabama Crimson Tide40c50,321$20,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,008.241233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-38.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Alabama Crimson Tide40c44,304$17,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,721.62,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Vanderbilt Commodores66c7,642$5,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,581.925,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Alabama Crimson Tide40c6,384$2,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,553.61,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Vanderbilt Commodores73c6,122$4,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,672.042,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Alabama Crimson Tide27c3,702$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.3725130.7%77 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Alabama Crimson Tide30c3,201$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.921,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Alabama Crimson Tide1c2,959$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5920548.8%100 W · 105 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Alabama Crimson Tide40c2,688$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.5453057.4%304 W · 226 L+33.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Alabama Crimson Tide40c2,630$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.6112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Vanderbilt Commodores71c2,503$1,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.483,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Alabama Crimson Tide4c2,330$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.34,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56be…57eebacked Vanderbilt Commodores60c2,010$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.953638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Vanderbilt Commodores66c1,836$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.6215861.4%97 W · 61 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cb4…48e3backed Alabama Crimson Tide49c1,719$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-46.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b5f…1ae6backed Alabama Crimson Tide13c1,540$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004731.9%15 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Vanderbilt Commodores63c1,499$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.6138343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dc…95c4backed Alabama Crimson Tide44c899.98$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.992524%6 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Alabama Crimson Tide38c888.23$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.281,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Vanderbilt Commodores71c841.04$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.473549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Alabama Crimson Tide40c739.81$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.9289850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28b9…9719backed Alabama Crimson Tide34c729.44$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.855831%18 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-33.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Alabama Crimson Tide22c672.28$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.675,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Alabama Crimson Tide14c651.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.341,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Alabama Crimson Tide35c626.53$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22111439.5%45 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd61b…723cbacked Alabama Crimson Tide2c599.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed Vanderbilt Commodores64c551.18$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.3911444.7%51 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f22…55f7backed Alabama Crimson Tide38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004544.4%20 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42f3…1e83backed Alabama Crimson Tide4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20287.1%2 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Alabama Crimson Tide4c484.28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.161,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Vanderbilt Commodores73c443.76$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.8632343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Alabama Crimson Tide38c422.03$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.377727.3%21 W · 56 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Vanderbilt Commodores72c398.43$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.1545644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Alabama Crimson Tide8c370.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.934517.8%8 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-61%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Alabama Crimson Tide36c320.38$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.341,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x658f…8aa2backed Alabama Crimson Tide38c315.79$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Alabama Crimson Tide37c308.32$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9842327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa097…fba7backed Alabama Crimson Tide38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1149148.4%44 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcda0…a51abacked Vanderbilt Commodores75c259.58$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.951442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Alabama Crimson Tide40c258.2$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.882,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Alabama Crimson Tide39c232.41$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6453646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2a4…caf5backed Alabama Crimson Tide15c211.78$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.557020%14 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Alabama Crimson Tide35c205.17$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8152928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Alabama Crimson Tide39c200.24$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0955657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Vanderbilt Commodores62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7611346.9%53 W · 60 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b05…25dfbacked Alabama Crimson Tide38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765540%22 W · 33 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Alabama Crimson Tide38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b96…f098backed Alabama Crimson Tide5c199.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.84621.7%10 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Alabama Crimson Tide41c184.01$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.864,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Vanderbilt Commodores56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5716253.1%86 W · 76 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99d4…6709backed Alabama Crimson Tide34c176.76$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Alabama Crimson Tide27c174$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6849747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07aa…63bfbacked Vanderbilt Commodores61c162.15$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.245050%25 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Alabama Crimson Tide37c147.59$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.513,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf569…36a6backed Alabama Crimson Tide42c140.84$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.622050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9bc…45c3backed Alabama Crimson Tide56c140$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked Vanderbilt Commodores57c122.98$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9812153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb417…0fd2backed Alabama Crimson Tide40c117.6$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0440%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d89…3e65backed Alabama Crimson Tide37c110$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.76524.6%16 W · 49 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Alabama Crimson Tide38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3841554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Alabama Crimson Tide36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3619238.5%74 W · 118 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Vanderbilt Commodores52c96.83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.834372.1%31 W · 12 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+29.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Vanderbilt Commodores61c92.52$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0899045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd1…0b70backed Vanderbilt Commodores80c81.96$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.464770.2%33 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick70cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Alabama Crimson Tide38c79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0265825.7%169 W · 489 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Vanderbilt Commodores59c74.68$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.623644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Alabama Crimson Tide29c68.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017122.8%39 W · 132 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60cd…3e7ebacked Alabama Crimson Tide31c65.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Alabama Crimson Tide39c63.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9466831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Alabama Crimson Tide32c62.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020024%48 W · 152 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Vanderbilt Commodores63c62$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.948345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Vanderbilt Commodores56c61.03$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.627844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a1e…2e41backed Alabama Crimson Tide40c58.75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce0a…2d88backed Vanderbilt Commodores57c52.81$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.817557.3%43 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed Alabama Crimson Tide39c51.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021746.1%100 W · 117 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c34…c8b8backed Alabama Crimson Tide39c51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6514339.9%57 W · 86 L-0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Alabama Crimson Tide36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Vanderbilt Commodores60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2018129.3%53 W · 128 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Alabama Crimson Tide32c49.44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9221342.3%90 W · 123 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Alabama Crimson Tide29c48.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3457335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c0f…09debacked Alabama Crimson Tide41c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.521118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick40cpaid-58.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd996…2ababacked Alabama Crimson Tide47c42.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95c4…a93bbacked Alabama Crimson Tide37c38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.063063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Alabama Crimson Tide40c35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420051.5%103 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38ef…8a4bbacked Vanderbilt Commodores61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Alabama Crimson Tide43c31.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4811743.6%51 W · 66 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Vanderbilt Commodores65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.771060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Alabama Crimson Tide40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1215250%76 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Alabama Crimson Tide40c28.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5814846.6%69 W · 79 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2587…a117backed Vanderbilt Commodores63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.42343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Vanderbilt Commodores80c18.82$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.831,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb343…9813backed Vanderbilt Commodores71c17.7$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.21353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.