Tennis · resolved market
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb2fda9debf3f3f41ad0da8d7909bb8297e14ab2345851ef466fb5f86530c3e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Over 3.5of Over 3.5, Under 3.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Over 3.5 | 50c | 1,309$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.5 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under 3.5 | 51c | 486.05$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.31 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under 3.5 | 50c | 437.89$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.94 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Over 3.5 | 48c | 404.1$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.13 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Under 3.5 | 50c | 333$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 346 | 55.2%191 W · 155 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 3.5 | 52c | 270.6$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.24 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…3e7ebacked Under 3.5 | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Over 3.5 | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 481 | 44.5%214 W · 267 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Over 3.5 | 48c | 165$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 389 | 52.2%203 W · 186 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…a9d1backed Under 3.5 | 52c | 165$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Over 3.5 | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 486 | 37.7%183 W · 303 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Over 3.5 | 47c | 125.19$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.35 | 287 | 38.3%110 W · 177 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Under 3.5 | 53c | 113.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 184 | 54.3%100 W · 84 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98de…3539backed Under 3.5 | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over 3.5 | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…2c38backed Under 3.5 | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 128 | 50.8%65 W · 63 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Under 3.5 | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 324 | 48.1%156 W · 168 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Over 3.5 | 49c | 99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 812 | 55.3%449 W · 363 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4de…672abacked Under 3.5 | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc78d…0bbdbacked Under 3.5 | 51c | 65.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over 3.5 | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Under 3.5 | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Under 3.5 | 50c | 21.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed Over 3.5 | 51c | 20.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5this page
- Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Perricard vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Perricard vs. Djokovic: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic won
- Set 1 Winner: Perricard vs DjokovicPerricard won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Perricard (+1.5)Djokovic won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Perricard (+2.5)Perricard won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.