Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs TEC Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x133ed4753ec83e74c6aa6ce2099c69414abbe165a5f6e7186e88175b7839d724
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TEC Esportsof EDward Gaming, TEC Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed EDward Gaming | 60c | 1,716$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.7 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb0…57e0backed TEC Esports | 44c | 1,501$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.56 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked TEC Esports | 40c | 1,111$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.6 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed EDward Gaming | 56c | 705.95$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.68 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed TEC Esports | 39c | 458.33$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.58 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed TEC Esports | 43c | 407.22$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.11 | 198 | 60.6%120 W · 78 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…3e7ebacked EDward Gaming | 56c | 256.7$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…3480backed EDward Gaming | 61c | 246.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…7cc5backed EDward Gaming | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked EDward Gaming | 56c | 179.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed EDward Gaming | 57c | 176.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked TEC Esports | 44c | 157.47$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked TEC Esports | 46c | 130$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked TEC Esports | 42c | 127.44$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.73 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed TEC Esports | 44c | 103.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…c45dbacked EDward Gaming | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed TEC Esports | 41c | 74.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1c…6b60backed EDward Gaming | 57c | 71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -5.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a1…7c9dbacked TEC Esports | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked TEC Esports | 43c | 53.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed EDward Gaming | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed EDward Gaming | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed TEC Esports | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed EDward Gaming | 56c | 20.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs TEC Esports (+1.5)this page
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-InsTEC Esports won
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs TEC Esports - Map 1 WinnerEDward Gaming won
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs TEC Esports - Map 2 WinnerTEC Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.