Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: RRQ (-1.5) vs Sharper Esport (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4ac4d62f7417164561224c90c018b9aa846aea1b5d029b08ed3e32f3d843856
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharper Esportof Rex Regum Qeon, Sharper Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Sharper Esport | 59c | 11,025$6,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,530.59 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +18.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Rex Regum Qeon | 43c | 7,854$3,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,370.25 | 524 | 55.2%289 W · 235 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Rex Regum Qeon | 40c | 4,410$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.45 | 262 | 55%144 W · 118 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Rex Regum Qeon | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 394 | 42.4%167 W · 227 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Sharper Esport | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Sharper Esport | 59c | 966.14$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.52 | 259 | 56.4%146 W · 113 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Rex Regum Qeon | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Sharper Esport | 55c | 547.6$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.42 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Sharper Esport | 58c | 520.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.35 | 239 | 64%153 W · 86 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…3e7ebacked Rex Regum Qeon | 40c | 503.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.27 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Sharper Esport | 55c | 496.42$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.39 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Rex Regum Qeon | 41c | 430$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.3 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b01…c511backed Sharper Esport | 55c | 163.64$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Sharper Esport | 61c | 82.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 677 | 50.4%341 W · 336 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Sharper Esport | 61c | 81.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72da…9b77backed Rex Regum Qeon | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Sharper Esport | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfae…155ebacked Sharper Esport | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Rex Regum Qeon | 40c | 44.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Sharper Esport | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Rex Regum Qeon | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Sharper Esport | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Sharper Esport | 61c | 33.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…b6d5backed Rex Regum Qeon | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Sharper Esport | 63c | 20.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Sharper Esport | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 441 | 43.5%192 W · 249 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: RRQ (-1.5) vs Sharper Esport (+1.5)this page
- Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-InSharper Esport won
- Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Sharper Esport - Map 1 WinnerSharper Esport won
- Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Sharper Esport - Map 2 WinnerRex Regum Qeon won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.