Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe241dfa67c69c97909fe457eb269b1dd3852f20c8dd56d2d5b31ef32bcefb4d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Hereticsof Team Heretics, GIANTX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed GIANTX | 52c | 629.96$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.58 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Team Heretics | 61c | 423.68$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.79 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team Heretics | 45c | 312.49$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.07 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked GIANTX | 55c | 270$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Team Heretics | 48c | 234.27$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.82 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed GIANTX | 45c | 221.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…3e7ebacked Team Heretics | 48c | 195.65$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.74 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Team Heretics | 43c | 123.12$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked GIANTX | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Heretics | 44c | 105.26$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.95 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked GIANTX | 38c | 104.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed GIANTX | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed GIANTX | 53c | 78.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked Team Heretics | 49c | 60.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 203 | 47.3%96 W · 107 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed GIANTX | 35c | 60.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Team Heretics | 48c | 59.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Heretics | 51c | 56.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked GIANTX | 33c | 54.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Team Heretics | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked GIANTX | 33c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Heretics | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed GIANTX | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce34…cceebacked Team Heretics | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed GIANTX | 54c | 32.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c2…bf50backed Team Heretics | 49c | 30.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ce…3f1dbacked Team Heretics | 62c | 19.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team Heretics | 68c | 15.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group OmegaTeam Heretics won
- Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Map 1 WinnerTeam Heretics won
- Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Map 2 WinnerTeam Heretics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.