TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Map Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
DetonatioN FocusMeof T1, DetonatioN FocusMe
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,973
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,544

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,973 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e15…7531backed DetonatioN FocusMe49c1,117$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.5733348.3%161 W · 172 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b75…fa0ebacked DetonatioN FocusMe52c878.89$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.031668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+30.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked T149c609.41$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013148.1%63 W · 68 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed T154c497.41$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.620160.2%121 W · 80 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked T154c457.84$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.238334.9%29 W · 54 L-9.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed DetonatioN FocusMe47c454.05$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.6514955.7%83 W · 66 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed T150c424.19$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21019847%93 W · 105 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed T148c420.83$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027646.1%35 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ae…3ca3backed T150c397.3$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.43342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x09a6…73c7backed T151c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f45…e6a7backed DetonatioN FocusMe51c392.15$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.153357.6%19 W · 14 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xab93…8479backed DetonatioN FocusMe55c364.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.253450%17 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9506…6182backed T150c318.02$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1608955.1%49 W · 40 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…f7dbbacked DetonatioN FocusMe52c290$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.216241.4%67 W · 95 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb68…9dc5backed T149c252$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.482035%7 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed DetonatioN FocusMe46c236.14$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.663658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed DetonatioN FocusMe50c232.32$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.1613743.8%60 W · 77 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked DetonatioN FocusMe46c214.57$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.8713741.6%57 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75c1…22e4backed T148c209.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.85238.5%20 W · 32 L-8.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x009c…049bbacked T151c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007244.4%32 W · 40 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60cd…3e7ebacked T149c192.45$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.38246.3%38 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba58…6d74backed T149c178$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2225555.7%142 W · 113 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…4eecbacked T150c165.18$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5917642.6%75 W · 101 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed T148c147.63$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8619546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked DetonatioN FocusMe44c142.83$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6912550.4%63 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5440…f13bbacked DetonatioN FocusMe53c141.22$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.295653.6%30 W · 26 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb11…7901backed DetonatioN FocusMe50c138.97$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.482763%17 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed DetonatioN FocusMe52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3852155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed DetonatioN FocusMe52c110.24$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9114158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed DetonatioN FocusMe47c107.92$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.263447.9%304 W · 330 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked T145c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4534443.3%149 W · 195 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25a4…69f6backed T149c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496251.6%32 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked T148c89.58$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4312949.6%64 W · 65 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed DetonatioN FocusMe51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.25038%19 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed T155c77.2$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4617948.6%87 W · 92 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed DetonatioN FocusMe50c74.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.265952.5%31 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed DetonatioN FocusMe45c74.09$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3856551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked DetonatioN FocusMe52c67.3$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.36666.7%44 W · 22 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed T150c57.14$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5793049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8b6…d353backed DetonatioN FocusMe52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2425146.6%117 W · 134 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed T145c39.61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.827044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed DetonatioN FocusMe51c35.97$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6266650.8%338 W · 328 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked DetonatioN FocusMe50c31.68$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8420051.5%103 W · 97 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b2…ada3backed DetonatioN FocusMe45c28.62$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.74966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked T145c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2555637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked DetonatioN FocusMe50c24.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.995865.5%38 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d33…6715backed DetonatioN FocusMe52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.66536.9%24 W · 41 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.