Tennis · resolved market

Brisbane International: Raphael Collignon vs Brandon Nakashima

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85496f97f85225928322b9e9a5ffbef79641fe8895831616ae5cfa86029e44a3

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Nakashimaof Collignon, Nakashima
Resolved: Jan 9, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $206,904
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $241,524

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,904 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe167…03a1backed Collignon	34c	10,318$3,462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,462.03	316	47.8%151 W · 165 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Nakashima	60c	9,548$5,772 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,776.05	2,426	47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nakashima	46c	8,216$3,769 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,446.34	11,435	43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L	+17.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd289…079fbacked Nakashima	61c	8,201$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,200.94	25	68%17 W · 8 L	+2.7wins	+0.11per pick	57cpaid	+8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Nakashima	55c	7,974$4,387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,587.58	391	44.2%173 W · 218 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nakashima	62c	7,347$4,532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,814.36	2,865	44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Nakashima	57c	6,491$3,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,791.13	138	52.9%73 W · 65 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Collignon	41c	6,313$2,588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,588.42	112	42.9%48 W · 64 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Collignon	48c	6,246$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000.46	110	53.6%59 W · 51 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Nakashima	58c	5,211$3,024 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,187.3	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa82a…a759backed Collignon	43c	4,500$1,935 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,935	339	55.2%187 W · 152 L	+18.2wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Nakashima	55c	3,643$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,643.13	312	53.2%166 W · 146 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x710c…892cbacked Collignon	43c	3,635$1,575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,575.44	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-3.3wins	-0.18per pick	49cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xec7a…a1f2backed Nakashima	60c	3,614$2,169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,445.7	147	66.7%98 W · 49 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	68cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Nakashima	59c	3,385$1,997 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,387.85	58	51.7%30 W · 28 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Collignon	41c	3,174$1,302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,301.51	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3e4…5bf6backed Collignon	44c	2,699$1,188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,187.55	206	53.4%110 W · 96 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nakashima	75c	2,590$1,939 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$651.38	2,068	34.9%721 W · 1,347 L	-44.2wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Collignon	38c	2,584$986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$985.62	1,410	38.4%542 W · 868 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-25%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Collignon	42c	2,536$1,063 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,062.96	2,375	51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L	+8.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Nakashima	48c	2,500$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,300	1,446	48.8%706 W · 740 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Collignon	41c	2,500$1,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,025	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6c8…dd64backed Nakashima	74c	2,416$1,777 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$638.8	134	61.9%83 W · 51 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Nakashima	58c	2,414$1,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,013.79	447	54.4%243 W · 204 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Collignon	42c	2,381$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	89	36%32 W · 57 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Collignon	44c	2,259$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	234	29.9%70 W · 164 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Collignon	45c	2,231$1,004 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,003.92	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.23per pick	48cpaid	+35.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Collignon	41c	2,209$906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$905.69	421	41.8%176 W · 245 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed Nakashima	57c	2,138$1,219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$919.19	61	59%36 W · 25 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28b9…9719backed Nakashima	57c	1,900$1,081 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$819.19	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Nakashima	58c	1,872$1,086 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$786.32	198	46%91 W · 107 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Nakashima	59c	1,456$859 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$596.77	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7daf…0ec8backed Nakashima	51c	1,389$708 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$680.55	100	43%43 W · 57 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae90…f6c8backed Collignon	43c	1,309$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.98	69	37.7%26 W · 43 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Collignon	42c	1,300$546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$546.18	8,217	45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L	+166.6wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd082…a332backed Nakashima	59c	1,149$675 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$473.56	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.36per pick	56cpaid	-66%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Nakashima	57c	1,148$655 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$493.33	154	47.4%73 W · 81 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Collignon	39c	1,037$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.95	2,746	30.8%846 W · 1,900 L	-67.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab80…7923backed Nakashima	80c	987.56$790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.56	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.14per pick	70cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Collignon	42c	960$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$403.2	118	43.2%51 W · 67 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nakashima	56c	918.48$514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$404.13	1,039	54.6%567 W · 472 L	+37.6wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae17…b10dbacked Nakashima	58c	890.85$517 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$373.85	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Collignon	45c	886.08$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.74	284	51.1%145 W · 139 L	+8.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nakashima	67c	870.2$581 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.47	7,018	43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L	+124.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Nakashima	57c	853.81$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$363.59	1,655	50.1%829 W · 826 L	+30.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…af57backed Collignon	49c	811.95$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	55	45.5%25 W · 30 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Collignon	1c	808.43$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.1	2,331	7.9%183 W · 2,148 L	-56.9wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Nakashima	68c	772$524 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.78	586	39.6%232 W · 354 L	-21.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Collignon	42c	725$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.5	254	28%71 W · 183 L	-13.4wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Collignon	41c	723.31$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.56	7,724	47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L	+41.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Collignon	42c	714$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.88	476	39.1%186 W · 290 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Collignon	44c	689.23$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.26	182	37.9%69 W · 113 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Collignon	42c	679.99$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.6	243	40.3%98 W · 145 L	-11.6wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x272b…0a6ebacked Collignon	42c	666.96$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.12	82	45.1%37 W · 45 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Nakashima	57c	645.85$366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.72	2,982	39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L	-109.1wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe758…c5afbacked Collignon	47c	637.49$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.62	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Nakashima	56c	633.79$354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.06	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Collignon	42c	618$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.56	1,809	43.8%793 W · 1,016 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Collignon	49c	596.94$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.81	126	27.8%35 W · 91 L	-6.9wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Collignon	54c	483.53$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	145	46.2%67 W · 78 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Collignon	3c	456.48$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.79	156	5.8%9 W · 147 L	-32.4wins	-0.21per pick	27cpaid	-64.6%equal weight	30-0.18 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Nakashima	56c	449.98$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.99	930	55.8%519 W · 411 L	+23.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1393…ba33backed Collignon	47c	425.74$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	106	40.6%43 W · 63 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Nakashima	55c	399.99$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Collignon	44c	379.46$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166	227	44.5%101 W · 126 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Collignon	29c	378.53$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.04	1,218	41.1%500 W · 718 L	-30.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Collignon	52c	376.08$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.56	15	60%9 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	65cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Collignon	41c	365.85$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Nakashima	78c	362.41$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.99	1,186	62.8%745 W · 441 L	-16.1wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x676e…79b6backed Collignon	43c	362.13$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.72	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb417…0fd2backed Nakashima	56c	351.66$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.38	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Nakashima	58c	344.83$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.83	108	62%67 W · 41 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Nakashima	20c	338.91$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$271.13	108	15.7%17 W · 91 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	+248.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ca8…db1fbacked Collignon	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	123	44.7%55 W · 68 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9356…a95bbacked Collignon	8c	302.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.05	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Nakashima	56c	299$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.56	124	50.8%63 W · 61 L	+11.1wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Collignon	39c	280.34$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.33	441	25.4%112 W · 329 L	-11.3wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked Nakashima	54c	280$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129	76	44.7%34 W · 42 L	-4.4wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Collignon	43c	261.42$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113	373	39.1%146 W · 227 L	-11.7wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd951…f30bbacked Collignon	45c	253.44$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	+2.9wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Collignon	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	102	47.1%48 W · 54 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c2…a50ebacked Nakashima	57c	228.07$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.07	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Collignon	44c	227.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	387	39.3%152 W · 235 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Nakashima	57c	210.34$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.34	233	53.2%124 W · 109 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Collignon	44c	206.47$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	2,335	46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L	+55.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b7…304dbacked Collignon	48c	200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	8	50%4 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Collignon	42c	200$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83	1,212	33.1%401 W · 811 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb74…1a99backed Collignon	23c	200$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	96	30.2%29 W · 67 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe759…3648backed Collignon	16c	182.11$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.4	155	51.6%80 W · 75 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Nakashima	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	330	55.8%184 W · 146 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0742…39a7backed Nakashima	57c	175.26$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.36	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Nakashima	58c	172.41$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.41	1,287	60.7%781 W · 506 L	-21.2wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9195…72a4backed Nakashima	58c	171.69$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.69	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+1.8wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+57%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Nakashima	60c	166.67$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.67	733	50.9%373 W · 360 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a5d…526fbacked Collignon	42c	139.44$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.88	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6418…f8a6backed Collignon	52c	118.74$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.65	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9501…a052backed Nakashima	58c	112.29$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.14	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+3.1wins	+0.19per pick	56cpaid	+35.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x677f…1228backed Collignon	41c	110$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.1	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eeb…e3abbacked Collignon	42c	109.91$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.81	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa402…4d84backed Nakashima	57c	105.26$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.26	19	73.7%14 W · 5 L	+4.2wins	+0.22per pick	51cpaid	+43.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Brisbane International: Raphael Collignon vs Brandon Nakashimathis page
Set 1 Winner: Collignon vs NakashimaNakashima won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Brisbane International: Raphael Collignon vs Brandon Nakashima

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event