Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: EST (-1.5) vs RMD Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf19b0939ef28e882433b70cd4a56fb35eb4c20864c37827c50a22ecd95eed76f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Estral Esportsof Estral Esports, RMD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed RMD Gaming | 23c | 8,728$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Estral Esports | 77c | 5,954$4,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.2 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked RMD Gaming | 24c | 4,980$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.19 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Estral Esports | 76c | 4,413$3,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.17 | 358 | 48.9%175 W · 183 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed RMD Gaming | 24c | 2,800$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.08 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Estral Esports | 77c | 1,438$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.79 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…54a4backed Estral Esports | 76c | 1,292$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.11 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Estral Esports | 76c | 1,061$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.53 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed RMD Gaming | 11c | 632.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.55 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…a00dbacked RMD Gaming | 10c | 516$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.28 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdccf…faeabacked Estral Esports | 76c | 450$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Estral Esports | 76c | 302.63$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.63 | 197 | 52.8%104 W · 93 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Estral Esports | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Estral Esports | 76c | 246.04$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.45 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked RMD Gaming | 20c | 240$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Estral Esports | 80c | 214.21$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 390 | 55.4%216 W · 174 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef03…4bb8backed RMD Gaming | 20c | 214.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Estral Esports | 76c | 184.21$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked RMD Gaming | 17c | 143.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ae…b263backed Estral Esports | 76c | 128.95$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…764fbacked Estral Esports | 77c | 123.63$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Estral Esports | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed RMD Gaming | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…e1d1backed RMD Gaming | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 392 | 51.3%201 W · 191 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Estral Esports | 77c | 92.48$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | -21.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11f6…d13ebacked Estral Esports | 76c | 92$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af0…fea7backed Estral Esports | 76c | 83.75$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…2b82backed Estral Esports | 76c | 82.97$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x773f…cffabacked Estral Esports | 76c | 81.84$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Estral Esports | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked RMD Gaming | 18c | 72.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…ad2abacked Estral Esports | 76c | 66.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Estral Esports | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd673…2305backed Estral Esports | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d12ebacked Estral Esports | 77c | 51.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 102 | 65.7%67 W · 35 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Estral Esports | 77c | 43.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc780…40a4backed Estral Esports | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Estral Esports | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Estral Esports | 78c | 35.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf151…24c7backed Estral Esports | 77c | 27.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…c227backed Estral Esports | 77c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 80 | 83.8%67 W · 13 L | +11.2wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Estral Esports | 77c | 18.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 113 | 69%78 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…98cfbacked Estral Esports | 77c | 16.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 75cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Estral Esports | 76c | 13.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: EST (-1.5) vs RMD Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Estral Esports vs RMD Gaming (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante PlayoffsEstral Esports won
- LoL: Estral Esports vs RMD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerEstral Esports won
- LoL: Estral Esports vs RMD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerEstral Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.