Lol · resolved market
LoL: Estral Esports vs RMD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87e24dfd7dd366c81c318b6df4c115d42d492f2010c78d4c309f20353a2b61a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Estral Esportsof Estral Esports, RMD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked RMD Gaming | 13c | 4,444$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.72 | 1,482 | 50%741 W · 741 L | +65.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked RMD Gaming | 8c | 1,456$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.92 | 1,952 | 30.6%597 W · 1,355 L | -166.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed RMD Gaming | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed RMD Gaming | 11c | 858.75$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.46 | 2,187 | 33.3%729 W · 1,458 L | -71.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed RMD Gaming | 8c | 772.73$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 1,818 | 39.9%726 W · 1,092 L | -59.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked RMD Gaming | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,441 | 43.4%625 W · 816 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed RMD Gaming | 11c | 438.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed RMD Gaming | 11c | 374.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 356 | 34.8%124 W · 232 L | -19.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked RMD Gaming | 5c | 310$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 671 | 15.4%103 W · 568 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2503…5cfdbacked RMD Gaming | 8c | 253$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked RMD Gaming | 12c | 156$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 541 | 34.8%188 W · 353 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Estral Esports vs RMD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: EST (-1.5) vs RMD Gaming (+1.5)Estral Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Estral Esports vs RMD Gaming (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante PlayoffsEstral Esports won
- LoL: Estral Esports vs RMD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerEstral Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.