Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: SR (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6da2fa651c988642e70eacfdf379322669b91d4dbc74572d1adef65b52dbc62d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dignitasof Shopify Rebellion, Dignitas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5556…2759backed Dignitas | 64c | 4,362$2,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.64 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 43c | 3,703$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…e868backed Shopify Rebellion | 35c | 2,114$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Dignitas | 57c | 2,045$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.51 | 411 | 33.8%139 W · 272 L | -28.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…d36dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 35c | 1,094$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.97 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 41c | 733.5$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.95 | 509 | 56.2%286 W · 223 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Shopify Rebellion | 35c | 703$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.05 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Dignitas | 57c | 526.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.3 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Shopify Rebellion | 40c | 498.04$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.53 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Dignitas | 57c | 497.66$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.99 | 488 | 47.3%231 W · 257 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Dignitas | 61c | 430.47$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.02 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…2b82backed Dignitas | 59c | 275.85$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.1 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Dignitas | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed Shopify Rebellion | 35c | 233$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.55 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72c…4f96backed Dignitas | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Dignitas | 62c | 129.06$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.26 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Shopify Rebellion | 11c | 117.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Dignitas | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482e…2c02backed Dignitas | 60c | 91.78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…2737backed Dignitas | 60c | 82.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 112 | 64.3%72 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36de…cf07backed Shopify Rebellion | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Shopify Rebellion | 34c | 51.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 41c | 51.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Dignitas | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Dignitas | 66c | 47.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Dignitas | 60c | 46.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Dignitas | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfb…9680backed Dignitas | 60c | 31.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Dignitas | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Dignitas | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: SR (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonShopify Rebellion won
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas - Game 1 WinnerDignitas won
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas - Game 2 WinnerShopify Rebellion won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.