Lol · resolved market
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a9d7543be36937c88cc206872ba2789dad7012da9c31290f2196dcbce383498
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shopify Rebellionof Shopify Rebellion, Dignitas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $192,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $215,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Dignitas | 36c | 17,985$6,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,424.41 | 1,300 | 45.2%587 W · 713 L | +50.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dignitas | 39c | 10,686$4,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,152.52 | 1,428 | 38.4%548 W · 880 L | -42.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Shopify Rebellion | 59c | 6,000$3,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,462.97 | 277 | 53.1%147 W · 130 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Shopify Rebellion | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 584 | 57.7%337 W · 247 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb8…5a88backed Shopify Rebellion | 60c | 5,250$3,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.69 | 356 | 54.8%195 W · 161 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Shopify Rebellion | 67c | 5,240$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.85 | 1,540 | 62.6%964 W · 576 L | +158.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed Shopify Rebellion | 80c | 5,127$4,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.41 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Dignitas | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 459 | 37%170 W · 289 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac3…66d8backed Shopify Rebellion | 61c | 4,890$2,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.03 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Dignitas | 42c | 3,567$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.77 | 1,008 | 42.5%428 W · 580 L | -24.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Dignitas | 41c | 3,432$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.17 | 859 | 42.7%367 W · 492 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Dignitas | 41c | 2,907$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.91 | 843 | 60.7%512 W · 331 L | +44.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Dignitas | 41c | 2,813$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.46 | 1,603 | 42.4%679 W · 924 L | -18.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…bc5ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 70c | 2,669$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.37 | 364 | 58.8%214 W · 150 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Dignitas | 35c | 2,591$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.35 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dignitas | 34c | 2,548$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.68 | 1,852 | 39.8%738 W · 1,114 L | -64.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 68c | 2,316$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.96 | 692 | 59.7%413 W · 279 L | +75.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Shopify Rebellion | 61c | 2,134$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.44 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Shopify Rebellion | 59c | 2,027$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.43 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Dignitas | 34c | 2,020$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.57 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Shopify Rebellion | 59c | 2,000$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.83 | 904 | 43.6%394 W · 510 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Dignitas | 45c | 2,000$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.56 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 60c | 1,813$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.59 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ca…f644backed Dignitas | 42c | 1,793$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 248 | 58.1%144 W · 104 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Shopify Rebellion | 75c | 1,792$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.17 | 366 | 55.7%204 W · 162 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…f85bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 62c | 1,779$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.35 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Dignitas | 31c | 1,779$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.63 | 2,330 | 39.4%919 W · 1,411 L | -83.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Shopify Rebellion | 62c | 1,603$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.02 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Dignitas | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,223 | 58.1%710 W · 513 L | +43.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Dignitas | 41c | 1,455$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 465 | 52.7%245 W · 220 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee7…1ad7backed Shopify Rebellion | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 134 | 63.4%85 W · 49 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Shopify Rebellion | 63c | 1,282$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.4 | 400 | 63%252 W · 148 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe638…40e6backed Shopify Rebellion | 67c | 1,240$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.43 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Shopify Rebellion | 59c | 1,200$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.47 | 1,320 | 38.6%510 W · 810 L | -66.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Dignitas | 41c | 1,180$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.65 | 1,056 | 50.4%532 W · 524 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Dignitas | 43c | 1,139$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.98 | 561 | 44.6%250 W · 311 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Shopify Rebellion | 64c | 1,082$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.41 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…f09ebacked Dignitas | 40c | 1,068$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 425 | 40.7%173 W · 252 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865c…4079backed Shopify Rebellion | 58c | 1,041$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.13 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…ac2bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 1,010$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.2 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Dignitas | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 304 | 37.8%115 W · 189 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…a687backed Dignitas | 34c | 999.98$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0805…1d14backed Dignitas | 31c | 957.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 372 | 52.2%194 W · 178 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Shopify Rebellion | 70c | 940$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 704 | 62.1%437 W · 267 L | -38.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…16abbacked Shopify Rebellion | 65c | 925.49$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.92 | 136 | 56.6%77 W · 59 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Shopify Rebellion | 64c | 925.23$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.2 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…3c83backed Dignitas | 44c | 911.59$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Dignitas | 22c | 910.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.35 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Shopify Rebellion | 74c | 905$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.88 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Dignitas | 36c | 850.48$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.81 | 1,965 | 48.4%951 W · 1,014 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6455…2604backed Shopify Rebellion | 70c | 800$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 185 | 61.1%113 W · 72 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa864…c51bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…2a25backed Dignitas | 35c | 759.99$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.8 | 974 | 52.5%511 W · 463 L | +36.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…2a99backed Shopify Rebellion | 61c | 712.18$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.75 | 277 | 49.1%136 W · 141 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 59c | 707.64$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.13 | 512 | 56.1%287 W · 225 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…6193backed Shopify Rebellion | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Shopify Rebellion | 62c | 700$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 1,184 | 44.4%526 W · 658 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c12…4b54backed Dignitas | 15c | 699.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac3…6ec2backed Shopify Rebellion | 63c | 664.16$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.84 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…bd17backed Shopify Rebellion | 61c | 660.42$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.42 | 166 | 57.8%96 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Dignitas | 34c | 652.12$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.25 | 1,182 | 44.8%530 W · 652 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Dignitas | 35c | 579.46$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.02 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Dignitas | 39c | 578.46$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.6 | 435 | 43.2%188 W · 247 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Dignitas | 40c | 571.07$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.43 | 637 | 51.2%326 W · 311 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28fd…00d0backed Dignitas | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 256 | 59%151 W · 105 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 548.71$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.43 | 885 | 44.3%392 W · 493 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb039…c6d9backed Dignitas | 41c | 536.5$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.57 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…51bbbacked Dignitas | 37c | 533.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 831 | 49.8%414 W · 417 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fa…e334backed Dignitas | 31c | 524.81$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.07 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Dignitas | 37c | 504.07$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.4 | 481 | 47.2%227 W · 254 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Dignitas | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Dignitas | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 663 | 16.4%109 W · 554 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Shopify Rebellion | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1,525 | 50.6%771 W · 754 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Dignitas | 20c | 499.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,299 | 26.6%345 W · 954 L | +65.4wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1680…490dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 58c | 498.33$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.33 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed Shopify Rebellion | 60c | 497.63$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.63 | 199 | 46.7%93 W · 106 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Shopify Rebellion | 69c | 490.72$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.22 | 1,571 | 55.1%866 W · 705 L | +80.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Dignitas | 34c | 486.37$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 1,453 | 43.4%630 W · 823 L | +106.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…d36dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 59c | 485.68$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.13 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 59c | 458.86$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.54 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x797b…26d2backed Dignitas | 40c | 450.74$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…e67bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 963 | 48.7%469 W · 494 L | +28.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf023…3cc4backed Dignitas | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x811a…9a3cbacked Dignitas | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x966f…5cdcbacked Dignitas | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x609d…3fa9backed Shopify Rebellion | 60c | 374.26$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.26 | 236 | 55.9%132 W · 104 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Shopify Rebellion | 59c | 371.34$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.45 | 776 | 54.8%425 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 60c | 350$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Shopify Rebellion | 79c | 338.08$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 131 | 64.9%85 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…3ca3backed Shopify Rebellion | 59c | 337.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.64 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Dignitas | 41c | 331.73$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.01 | 1,399 | 44.9%628 W · 771 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Dignitas | 44c | 326$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.4 | 1,658 | 46.9%777 W · 881 L | -25.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91d…6416backed Dignitas | 30c | 321.87$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4892…4442backed Shopify Rebellion | 62c | 320.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.74 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 57c | 320$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.16 | 262 | 40.5%106 W · 156 L | -28.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Dignitas | 40c | 307.72$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.39 | 1,213 | 43.4%527 W · 686 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked Shopify Rebellion | 64c | 304.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf071…04d6backed Shopify Rebellion | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3835…bcacbacked Shopify Rebellion | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: SR (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)Dignitas won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonShopify Rebellion won
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas - Game 1 WinnerDignitas won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.