Lol · resolved market
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f7e35e61cf460c7d8c9a758001fc7ba17919bb655db1558c756683c237772dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dignitasof Shopify Rebellion, Dignitas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $208,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $220,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x067e…baafbacked Shopify Rebellion | 0c | 39,878$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Dignitas | 54c | 17,364$9,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,912.45 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Shopify Rebellion | 44c | 11,009$4,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,888.48 | 1,379 | 37.7%520 W · 859 L | -43.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x509b…8a55backed Shopify Rebellion | 17c | 9,857$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.59 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…9f81backed Dignitas | 55c | 6,559$3,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,956.84 | 150 | 62%93 W · 57 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdac3…66d8backed Dignitas | 57c | 6,090$3,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,637.69 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Shopify Rebellion | 45c | 5,116$2,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,322.37 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Dignitas | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.99 | 579 | 57.9%335 W · 244 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Shopify Rebellion | 47c | 4,070$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.85 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Shopify Rebellion | 51c | 3,570$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.99 | 1,476 | 48.3%713 W · 763 L | +45.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Shopify Rebellion | 61c | 3,154$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.12 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Shopify Rebellion | 28c | 3,052$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.24 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Dignitas | 59c | 2,491$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.45 | 273 | 46.9%128 W · 145 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x586a…be99backed Shopify Rebellion | 44c | 2,264$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 60c | 2,167$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.2 | 1,490 | 54.6%813 W · 677 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee7…1ad7backed Dignitas | 55c | 2,042$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.81 | 129 | 62.8%81 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Dignitas | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Shopify Rebellion | 39c | 2,000$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.46 | 2,490 | 47.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x515d…0340backed Shopify Rebellion | 48c | 1,800$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.5 | 345 | 58.3%201 W · 144 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Dignitas | 62c | 1,603$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.71 | 603 | 54.7%330 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…ac2bbacked Dignitas | 53c | 1,600$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.99 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Dignitas | 58c | 1,554$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.71 | 834 | 60.8%507 W · 327 L | +44.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Shopify Rebellion | 52c | 1,500$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.38 | 389 | 63%245 W · 144 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Dignitas | 40c | 1,425$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.14 | 621 | 51.4%319 W · 302 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…6193backed Shopify Rebellion | 35c | 1,400$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec8…1d07backed Shopify Rebellion | 62c | 1,345$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.74 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 44c | 1,341$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.9 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…3c83backed Dignitas | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.42 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Shopify Rebellion | 48c | 1,245$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 465 | 52.7%245 W · 220 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Shopify Rebellion | 30c | 1,212$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.8 | 121 | 28.9%35 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Dignitas | 69c | 1,183$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.64 | 261 | 64.4%168 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…f85bbacked Dignitas | 71c | 1,127$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.76 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Shopify Rebellion | 48c | 1,090$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.53 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Dignitas | 52c | 1,037$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.35 | 621 | 58.8%365 W · 256 L | +32.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Shopify Rebellion | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,301 | 38.6%502 W · 799 L | -65.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…f616backed Shopify Rebellion | 48c | 994.58$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Shopify Rebellion | 60c | 984.07$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.44 | 2,152 | 53.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L | +58.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Dignitas | 52c | 969.62$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.62 | 1,660 | 59.5%987 W · 673 L | +97.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Dignitas | 53c | 943.38$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.81 | 582 | 59.5%346 W · 236 L | +27.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…df49backed Shopify Rebellion | 6c | 939.97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 233 | 32.6%76 W · 157 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Shopify Rebellion | 44c | 858.52$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.04 | 1,818 | 39.9%726 W · 1,092 L | -59.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Shopify Rebellion | 41c | 806.57$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.25 | 1,149 | 45.2%519 W · 630 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…d335backed Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 787.93$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.56 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Dignitas | 40c | 771$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.55 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6455…2604backed Shopify Rebellion | 60c | 700$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +15.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Shopify Rebellion | 46c | 686.67$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.1 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ec…2711backed Shopify Rebellion | 47c | 654.13$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 26c | 636.74$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.26 | 653 | 59.4%388 W · 265 L | +70.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 600$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 595.09$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.21 | 2,187 | 33.3%729 W · 1,458 L | -71.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf023…3cc4backed Dignitas | 43c | 587.07$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.07 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…f09ebacked Dignitas | 59c | 584.73$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.73 | 425 | 40.7%173 W · 252 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Shopify Rebellion | 11c | 557.7$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.81 | 629 | 42.4%267 W · 362 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed Dignitas | 54c | 554.58$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.58 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Dignitas | 63c | 513.32$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.47 | 1,917 | 42.3%810 W · 1,107 L | -44.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0805…1d14backed Shopify Rebellion | 51c | 507.35$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.81 | 372 | 52.2%194 W · 178 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Dignitas | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 488 | 47.3%231 W · 257 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked Dignitas | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 174 | 39.1%68 W · 106 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Shopify Rebellion | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Dignitas | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865c…4079backed Shopify Rebellion | 12c | 499.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shopify Rebellion | 43c | 499.91$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.76 | 2,820 | 41.4%1,167 W · 1,653 L | -14.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Dignitas | 41c | 484.57$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.57 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 54c | 474.98$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.55 | 2,303 | 39.4%907 W · 1,396 L | -82.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 44c | 468.73$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.55 | 949 | 48.5%460 W · 489 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…2a99backed Dignitas | 42c | 443.6$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.29 | 259 | 49%127 W · 132 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…bd17backed Shopify Rebellion | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Dignitas | 67c | 427.75$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.53 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…1ae2backed Shopify Rebellion | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…f8b3backed Dignitas | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Shopify Rebellion | 9c | 399.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 661 | 16.5%109 W · 552 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 37c | 390.39$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.43 | 1,952 | 30.6%597 W · 1,355 L | -166.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Dignitas | 36c | 380.55$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.55 | 196 | 37.8%74 W · 122 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Shopify Rebellion | 14c | 376.23$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 1,605 | 17.5%281 W · 1,324 L | -244.2wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4892…4442backed Dignitas | 40c | 375$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked Shopify Rebellion | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Dignitas | 40c | 340.32$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.19 | 1,381 | 45.1%623 W · 758 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…51bbbacked Shopify Rebellion | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 826 | 50%413 W · 413 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Dignitas | 46c | 321$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.49 | 1,301 | 47.2%614 W · 687 L | -32.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…e67bbacked Dignitas | 64c | 312.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.66 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb8…5a88backed Dignitas | 40c | 310$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 338 | 56.2%190 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…d36dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 58c | 304.68$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.71 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 60c | 289$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.4 | 197 | 58.9%116 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Dignitas | 39c | 286.42$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.72 | 445 | 38.2%170 W · 275 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…2a25backed Shopify Rebellion | 61c | 276$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.83 | 964 | 52.7%508 W · 456 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Dignitas | 52c | 272.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.87 | 3,119 | 33.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L | -151.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Shopify Rebellion | 61c | 264$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.04 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed Shopify Rebellion | 59c | 261.02$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed08…ed3bbacked Dignitas | 39c | 258.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.6 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Shopify Rebellion | 48c | 249.98$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.86 | 361 | 55.4%200 W · 161 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Dignitas | 36c | 240$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…0ac2backed Dignitas | 36c | 240$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Dignitas | 54c | 237.89$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.49 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Shopify Rebellion | 46c | 233.39$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.24 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…ac8fbacked Dignitas | 58c | 231.94$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.09 | 632 | 48.3%305 W · 327 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1407…e56cbacked Dignitas | 36c | 230.2$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.33 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7af…f22ebacked Dignitas | 56c | 221.43$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.43 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Dignitas | 40c | 220$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 538 | 29.4%158 W · 380 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Dignitas | 48c | 208.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.54 | 1,441 | 43.4%625 W · 816 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…60f0backed Dignitas | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: SR (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)Dignitas won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonShopify Rebellion won
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas - Game 2 WinnerShopify Rebellion won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.