Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d3f7cd9dd73c52d3369164f30065aaa44f118e104c0c14673d2ba2910c61cb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 62c | 5,982$3,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273.34 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 62c | 4,839$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.69 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 62c | 3,802$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.96 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Over | 38c | 2,389$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.7 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed Over | 38c | 1,998$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.11 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4e…5c01backed Over | 38c | 1,766$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.01 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…fefbbacked Over | 38c | 1,756$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.15 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1047…9036backed Over | 38c | 1,700$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 61c | 1,648$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.1 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.33 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ae…b263backed Over | 38c | 1,232$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1d…c307backed Over | 38c | 1,095$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.13 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Over | 38c | 865.79$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39df…6edfbacked Over | 38c | 813.16$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Under | 63c | 698.2$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.4 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489b…a6ecbacked Over | 38c | 538$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.44 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 37c | 512.12$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.73 | 294 | 47.6%140 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Over | 38c | 481.58$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 197 | 35%69 W · 128 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 38c | 405.27$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.99 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Over | 38c | 376.32$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ca…bc47backed Over | 38c | 326.32$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Over | 38c | 310.53$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Over | 38c | 263$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Over | 42c | 261.9$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 282 | 35.1%99 W · 183 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Over | 38c | 255.63$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 169 | 33.1%56 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed Over | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…5dcebacked Over | 38c | 208.05$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Over | 42c | 198$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.38 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaeb…c2d0backed Over | 38c | 171.71$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -5.2wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 59c | 164.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.56 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…ecc5backed Over | 38c | 139.49$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 59c | 135$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 194 | 37.6%73 W · 121 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf6…52bfbacked Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 59c | 115.33$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.65 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Over | 39c | 101.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 41c | 91.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…d220backed Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 38c | 65.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 39c | 64.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf8…1dcebacked Over | 42c | 45.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 64c | 41.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 59c | 19.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | -21.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?this page
- Game Handicap: SR (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)Dignitas won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonShopify Rebellion won
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas - Game 1 WinnerDignitas won
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas - Game 2 WinnerShopify Rebellion won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.