Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs ROSE (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d26f675cc2463ad2c0c00b5b36e76487ff376b4e690fd421ad3278cae30ff19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ROSEof Shopify Rebellion Gold, ROSE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 29c | 1,505$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.39 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed ROSE | 71c | 1,446$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.4 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -36%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…6ba2backed ROSE | 65c | 1,168$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.91 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 57c | 1,101$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.34 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked ROSE | 43c | 888.25$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.3 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 44c | 759.14$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.71 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 33c | 695.14$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.29 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ROSE | 58c | 672.82$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.96 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 38c | 666.12$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.96 | 266 | 34.6%92 W · 174 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked ROSE | 67c | 651$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.62 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 30c | 639.92$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.86 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed ROSE | 67c | 578.32$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.84 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed ROSE | 56c | 500.46$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.79 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked ROSE | 62c | 453.24$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.49 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 42c | 396.32$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.91 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed ROSE | 70c | 389.32$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.64 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7441…4891backed ROSE | 73c | 336.63$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.67 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked ROSE | 35c | 299.22$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.54 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x96bb…f0fabacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 35c | 287.94$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.56 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +39%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 45c | 282.85$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.53 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…e197backed ROSE | 54c | 274.17$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 37c | 271.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.73 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…6d74backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 45c | 241.89$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.87 | 255 | 55.7%142 W · 113 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…770ebacked ROSE | 68c | 223.15$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.13 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 26c | 211.81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 37c | 208.33$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.39 | 269 | 32.3%87 W · 182 L | -25.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 32c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 64c | 199.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.99 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…cab7backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 65c | 194.83$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.95 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed ROSE | 70c | 194.3$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 45c | 186.49$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.54 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 58c | 173.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.06 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked ROSE | 36c | 159.85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.15 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed ROSE | 50c | 145.48$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.74 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd6…e33abacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 50c | 143.56$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked ROSE | 54c | 137.58$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 157 | 54.1%85 W · 72 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…2b82backed ROSE | 69c | 136.42$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…60cfbacked ROSE | 69c | 133.97$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 59c | 131.72$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.04 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed ROSE | 57c | 126.09$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 46c | 116.92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed ROSE | 53c | 94.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked ROSE | 39c | 93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.83 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 53c | 91.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed ROSE | 68c | 83.4$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked ROSE | 36c | 79.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked ROSE | 44c | 79.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.09 | 267 | 58.8%157 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed ROSE | 56c | 78.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 57c | 73.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed ROSE | 47c | 73.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 38c | 69.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…95e9backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 38c | 63.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed ROSE | 68c | 61.39$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked ROSE | 34c | 60.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed ROSE | 45c | 58.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed ROSE | 60c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1d…9e5fbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 31c | 54.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ROSE | 52c | 53.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…55babacked ROSE | 52c | 52.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffbb…7a04backed ROSE | 39c | 50.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…9a00backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked ROSE | 70c | 46.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ROSE | 65c | 45.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 56c | 43.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 26c | 43.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…6a61backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 53c | 39.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 42c | 38.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea8…077dbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 42c | 38.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 42c | 38.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.7wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 39c | 35.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85e6…454ebacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 56c | 34.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae3…2a7fbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 52c | 32.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed ROSE | 46c | 30.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed ROSE | 61c | 29.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…efaabacked ROSE | 43c | 29.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed ROSE | 65c | 26.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed ROSE | 70c | 21.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed ROSE | 68c | 19.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c8…60cabacked ROSE | 69c | 18.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs ROSE (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs ROSE - Map 2 WinnerROSE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.