TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIA Esportsof FURIA Esports, LOUD
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$230,520
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$221,191

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,520 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xec92…6b59backed LOUD0c55,555$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5516511.5%19 W · 146 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+70.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked FURIA Esports72c46,498$33,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,219.3514448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed FURIA Esports70c34,513$24,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,298.671,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked LOUD29c15,330$4,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,445.6559248.3%286 W · 306 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c8d…65e7backed LOUD29c15,000$4,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,274.981656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+52.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed FURIA Esports72c10,600$7,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,96859450.2%298 W · 296 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked FURIA Esports71c10,000$7,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.992458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked LOUD28c7,500$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10014549.7%72 W · 73 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked LOUD29c7,145$2,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,072.1643442.4%184 W · 250 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked LOUD29c6,900$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00116047.5%76 W · 84 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked FURIA Esports73c6,000$4,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6209853.1%52 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked LOUD28c5,135$1,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,454.071,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked LOUD29c3,573$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.0824445.1%110 W · 134 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed LOUD28c3,033$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.2710648.1%51 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed LOUD28c3,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84015046%69 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked LOUD28c3,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.991,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed LOUD26c2,540$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.412,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed LOUD28c2,500$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4de…3920backed LOUD31c2,218$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.451741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed LOUD31c2,173$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.6313933.8%47 W · 92 L-14.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-32.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked LOUD28c2,095$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.671,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed LOUD29c2,042$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.0416942%71 W · 98 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed LOUD30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed LOUD27c1,937$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.032119%4 W · 17 L-4.6wins-0.22per pick41cpaid-66%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xeb66…c8dfbacked LOUD28c1,936$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.166248.4%30 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7265…8712backed LOUD29c1,711$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.971735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22f9…f814backed LOUD31c1,620$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.192050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed LOUD28c1,536$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4309848%47 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed LOUD35c1,500$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.771,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed LOUD30c1,431$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.9737548%180 W · 195 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed LOUD29c1,400$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40644335.4%157 W · 286 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed LOUD13c1,199$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.7419437.6%73 W · 121 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d72…02d0backed LOUD28c1,100$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3086529.2%19 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+29.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked LOUD30c1,100$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.9948847.3%231 W · 257 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked LOUD33c1,095$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.7940145.4%182 W · 219 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed LOUD29c1,034$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed LOUD31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3105334%18 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc20f…ab16backed LOUD31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked LOUD29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29010539%41 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed FURIA Esports71c988.15$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.1586144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked LOUD28c930$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.4758420.2%118 W · 466 L-58.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-43%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed FURIA Esports66c906.62$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.4323938.1%91 W · 148 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked LOUD26c887$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.615821.5%34 W · 124 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked LOUD22c853.15$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.361,06347.2%502 W · 561 L-2.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed LOUD24c825$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.953,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x45ea…026dbacked LOUD7c807.27$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24dc…25abbacked FURIA Esports65c771.11$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.894035%14 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed LOUD28c766.69$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.6749847.2%235 W · 263 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1b6…e0a0backed LOUD29c765.52$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2229239.1%36 W · 56 L-11.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked FURIA Esports73c668.49$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.4928253.5%151 W · 131 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked LOUD32c656.25$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21028852.1%150 W · 138 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed LOUD28c650$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.51,05823.5%249 W · 809 L-75.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x44aa…d1d5backed FURIA Esports71c650$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.54146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed LOUD32c630.77$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.5456650%283 W · 283 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FURIA Esports71c600$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.51,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked FURIA Esports68c588.24$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.2427142.4%115 W · 156 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed FURIA Esports69c580.89$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.081,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed LOUD31c575$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.258549.4%42 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecee…2120backed LOUD31c564.52$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed FURIA Esports71c511.77$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.3138640.4%156 W · 230 L-17.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed LOUD30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15067931.8%216 W · 463 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed FURIA Esports71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14515255.3%84 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed FURIA Esports72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x960a…4a11backed LOUD29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14540%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked FURIA Esports79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda71…799dbacked LOUD31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-64.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa485…a7d5backed LOUD25c479.98$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3925345.8%116 W · 137 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed LOUD27c477$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.7943837.9%166 W · 272 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93f4…1dafbacked FURIA Esports79c458.14$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.027100%7 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed LOUD29c455.1$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.7621836.7%80 W · 138 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa304…0b05backed LOUD28c439.84$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.153638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed LOUD29c413.5$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.41,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked FURIA Esports77c413.07$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.122,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked LOUD17c409$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.531,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed LOUD29c400$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11632542.2%137 W · 188 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5fc…d802backed LOUD3c388.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.65263.8%1 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-90.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked LOUD19c384.93$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.021,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed FURIA Esports71c375.67$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.9421051.4%108 W · 102 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc8f…d0e4backed LOUD18c369.66$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.548618.6%16 W · 70 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd19…8b8cbacked LOUD9c350$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae6…7acabacked LOUD28c350$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed FURIA Esports72c340$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.227050.7%137 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39ea…f75bbacked LOUD31c309.59$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.969751.5%50 W · 47 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed LOUD29c306.3$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8274637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed LOUD28c303.5$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9854529.7%162 W · 383 L-34.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked LOUD28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8421848.6%106 W · 112 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdec9…b8abbacked LOUD28c299$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7233153.2%176 W · 155 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed LOUD29c282.76$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-37.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ea…706cbacked LOUD7c282.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196331.7%20 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd83…7d7cbacked FURIA Esports72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7821559.5%128 W · 87 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed LOUD20c270$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5429038.6%112 W · 178 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked LOUD31c250$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.517339.3%68 W · 105 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d67…ec57backed LOUD29c241.54$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.05560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked FURIA Esports75c237.68$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.421,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed LOUD29c232.34$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.921,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8261…a3f1backed LOUD31c230.87$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5718467.9%125 W · 59 L+11.8wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed LOUD28c230$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.976028.9%220 W · 540 L-0.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed LOUD27c218.7$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.051,38545.1%625 W · 760 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked LOUD12c205.3$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0122245.9%102 W · 120 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked LOUD15c200.53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023831.5%75 W · 163 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.