Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32374da8f1ae40969c50e44b0740b9591c34915950482e8b1a1135d3f17c0ab0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIA Esportsof FURIA Esports, LOUD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed FURIA Esports | 48c | 10,581$5,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,502.19 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked LOUD | 52c | 8,722$4,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,526.57 | 1,267 | 37.7%478 W · 789 L | +35.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked LOUD | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed FURIA Esports | 49c | 4,312$2,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.15 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked LOUD | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52a6…ab62backed FURIA Esports | 47c | 2,703$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427 | 138 | 31.2%43 W · 95 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed FURIA Esports | 47c | 916$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.48 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked FURIA Esports | 51c | 770.29$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.44 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed LOUD | 48c | 765.62$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.5 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked FURIA Esports | 47c | 762$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.86 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed LOUD | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,014 | 47.6%483 W · 531 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked FURIA Esports | 52c | 532.69$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.69 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed FURIA Esports | 49c | 428.8$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.67 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…cd6bbacked LOUD | 57c | 350.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked FURIA Esports | 43c | 350.56$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.82 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked FURIA Esports | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed FURIA Esports | 47c | 212.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.99 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed FURIA Esports | 48c | 143.12$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.11 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…37b0backed LOUD | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…b135backed FURIA Esports | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked LOUD | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed LOUD | 53c | 76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed LOUD | 53c | 55.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed LOUD | 52c | 48.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed LOUD | 54c | 47.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked LOUD | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed FURIA Esports | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…3772backed FURIA Esports | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 394 | 45.2%178 W · 216 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed FURIA Esports | 60c | 19.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL PlayoffsFURIA Esports won
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD - Game 1 WinnerFURIA Esports won
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD - Game 2 WinnerFURIA Esports won
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD - Game 3 WinnerFURIA Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.