TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD - Game 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIA Esportsof FURIA Esports, LOUD
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,681
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,053

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,681 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef26…05babacked LOUD32c6,529$2,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,072.081,26737.7%478 W · 789 L+35.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec92…6b59backed LOUD1c5,555$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5516511.5%19 W · 146 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+70.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed FURIA Esports69c5,261$3,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.6927753.1%147 W · 130 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8261…a3f1backed FURIA Esports67c2,850$1,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.418467.9%125 W · 59 L+11.8wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked LOUD37c2,801$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.6787443.1%377 W · 497 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed LOUD67c2,391$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,601.9763746.5%296 W · 341 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe37e…6d97backed FURIA Esports72c2,094$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.038860.2%53 W · 35 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked FURIA Esports33c1,626$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.422,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked LOUD29c1,615$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.341,54062.6%964 W · 576 L+158.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbc6f…f0f0backed LOUD51c1,556$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80029846.6%139 W · 159 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed FURIA Esports48c1,292$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.0285852.3%449 W · 409 L+35.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53a5…55dfbacked LOUD40c1,247$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.1243358.2%252 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked FURIA Esports53c1,205$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.341,00948.2%486 W · 523 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed FURIA Esports64c1,150$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.9996350.2%483 W · 480 L+1.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked LOUD31c1,134$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.6343442.4%184 W · 250 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked FURIA Esports52c1,089$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.151,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed LOUD30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,22135.9%438 W · 783 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked FURIA Esports68c933.1$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.691,91237.1%709 W · 1,203 L-115.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0960…5adcbacked LOUD51c892.39$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.412642.1%53 W · 73 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed LOUD34c784.66$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.0282836.4%301 W · 527 L-41.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x695d…0d7cbacked LOUD40c609.37$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.0467853.4%362 W · 316 L+25.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed FURIA Esports58c600$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2522,52147.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L-34.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75c7…909dbacked FURIA Esports68c590.59$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.594247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked LOUD43c571.04$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.11,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed LOUD42c569.24$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24054246.3%251 W · 291 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked LOUD31c567.15$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.8224445.1%110 W · 134 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed LOUD31c567.15$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.8216942%71 W · 98 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed LOUD30c541.67$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.532253.1%171 W · 151 L+19.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4916…5442backed LOUD36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1804560%27 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed LOUD46c444$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.552,36731.9%756 W · 1,611 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed LOUD34c422.89$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1423943.1%103 W · 136 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked LOUD49c404.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,67559.3%993 W · 682 L+96.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked LOUD28c400$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.629942.8%128 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked LOUD31c400$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1241,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed LOUD38c394.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed LOUD34c373.94$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.983,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed FURIA Esports60c370$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14848553.4%259 W · 226 L-19.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2eb…8979backed LOUD55c360.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018347.5%87 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d87…e214backed FURIA Esports58c345.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.0326961.7%166 W · 103 L+22.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xaea5…6163backed FURIA Esports77c339$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7745366%299 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed FURIA Esports70c310.67$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.22,23733.3%745 W · 1,492 L-71.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed LOUD28c304.5$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0360738.7%235 W · 372 L+2.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed94…c059backed LOUD33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016623.5%39 W · 127 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked LOUD33c300$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2514628.8%42 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed FURIA Esports62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11438659.8%231 W · 155 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40cf…2748backed FURIA Esports73c299.04$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7432160.7%195 W · 126 L+0.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed FURIA Esports62c294.74$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.441,26542.8%541 W · 724 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e8e…f9b2backed FURIA Esports60c290$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.1540446%186 W · 218 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3333…3c23backed LOUD33c284.88$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2228042.5%119 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed FURIA Esports67c264.59$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4476642%322 W · 444 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00a1…df06backed LOUD32c257.32$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2415944%70 W · 89 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed LOUD16c257$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4254824.3%133 W · 415 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed FURIA Esports54c249.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11528240.4%114 W · 168 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed FURIA Esports32c249.74$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.8294237.3%351 W · 591 L+51.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FURIA Esports64c242$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.895541.7%398 W · 557 L-31.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked FURIA Esports62c217.73$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832,98444.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L-94.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked LOUD37c216.22$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8029944.1%132 W · 167 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed FURIA Esports61c204$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5686451.4%444 W · 420 L+52.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf529…755fbacked LOUD34c200$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3324238%92 W · 150 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed LOUD30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6042050.5%212 W · 208 L+27.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb953…5393backed FURIA Esports52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9657151.5%294 W · 277 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked FURIA Esports50c199.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.996348.7%469 W · 494 L+28.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed FURIA Esports74c196.41$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.691,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked LOUD42c181.88$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.831,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed LOUD37c176.34$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2521242%89 W · 123 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200e…e21dbacked FURIA Esports55c174.55$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.551,01247%476 W · 536 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc480…60afbacked FURIA Esports58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4139747.9%190 W · 207 L+1.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed LOUD30c166.64$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5572637.7%274 W · 452 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed LOUD62c159.68$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9980750.8%410 W · 397 L+48.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed LOUD43c154.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.821,13130.1%340 W · 791 L-26.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked LOUD37c151$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.133630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed LOUD30c150$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.543233.8%146 W · 286 L-20.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a1…d6ecbacked LOUD68c138.24$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9447150.7%239 W · 232 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed LOUD33c130$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.976129%221 W · 540 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x511d…3633backed FURIA Esports66c128.62$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7316456.1%92 W · 72 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed FURIA Esports61c125$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.751,52550.6%771 W · 754 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb676…2dbbbacked LOUD25c118.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015756.7%89 W · 68 L+10.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7bbb…4a56backed LOUD32c114.34$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed LOUD41c108$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5248747%229 W · 258 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed LOUD37c107.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3557222.7%130 W · 442 L-48.9wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-35.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed LOUD39c101$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.471,65846.9%777 W · 881 L-25.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea4d…c654backed LOUD54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbc…deedbacked FURIA Esports67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3340245.8%184 W · 218 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5c8…5e53backed LOUD53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5325074.8%187 W · 63 L+42.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+24.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xd7e2…8fb6backed LOUD38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3826236.6%96 W · 166 L+24.6wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+27.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed LOUD64c99.75$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.841,54543.8%676 W · 869 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ffc…cfabbacked LOUD13c99.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9623740.5%96 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa233…af5bbacked LOUD42c93.12$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3910639.6%42 W · 64 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+8.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x398d…b8d6backed FURIA Esports65c91.72$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.164451.2%330 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked LOUD39c90$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.11,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked LOUD36c87.28$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.772,70735.9%972 W · 1,735 L-152.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc52f…0981backed FURIA Esports79c81.82$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1641468.4%283 W · 131 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0fb…b170backed FURIA Esports47c78.54$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.546952.2%36 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a7…07aebacked LOUD38c76.32$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed LOUD25c74$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.547630.7%146 W · 330 L-13.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked LOUD21c73.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.351,14330.8%352 W · 791 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FURIA Esports56c71.22$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.42,91038.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L-120.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x59c0…6a65backed LOUD39c64.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.296556.9%37 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…2385backed FURIA Esports33c60.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.616142.9%69 W · 92 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked FURIA Esports69c57.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.91,38431.3%433 W · 951 L-133.9wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.