Lol · resolved market
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe53f899b1d2c2e027e05799b5b79bf221b3700e73f3d915353af8bdb4b73fa4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIA Esportsof FURIA Esports, LOUD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked FURIA Esports | 76c | 5,636$4,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.7 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…0d7cbacked FURIA Esports | 69c | 2,449$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.91 | 675 | 53.5%361 W · 314 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed LOUD | 27c | 2,402$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.57 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…55dfbacked FURIA Esports | 73c | 1,642$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.01 | 433 | 58.2%252 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked LOUD | 28c | 1,411$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.63 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed LOUD | 31c | 1,351$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed LOUD | 16c | 1,169$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.21 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked LOUD | 41c | 1,105$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked FURIA Esports | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 488 | 47.3%231 W · 257 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked FURIA Esports | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 835 | 60.8%508 W · 327 L | +45.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed LOUD | 33c | 1,000$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.48 | 1,208 | 35.8%432 W · 776 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f1…8332backed LOUD | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8261…a3f1backed FURIA Esports | 62c | 998.5$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.43 | 184 | 67.9%125 W · 59 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked LOUD | 23c | 874.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.85 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed LOUD | 7c | 799.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed FURIA Esports | 80c | 782$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.26 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…1457backed LOUD | 23c | 758.13$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.11 | 366 | 43.7%160 W · 206 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked FURIA Esports | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed LOUD | 39c | 645$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.55 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked LOUD | 26c | 613.24$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.58 | 1,212 | 54.5%660 W · 552 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked FURIA Esports | 79c | 600$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.9 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked LOUD | 38c | 599.64$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.9 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c1dabacked LOUD | 17c | 575.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked LOUD | 14c | 570.38$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LOUD | 20c | 546.93$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked LOUD | 21c | 544.58$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.35 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked LOUD | 24c | 512.41$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.83 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed LOUD | 27c | 508.26$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.23 | 761 | 42%320 W · 441 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…f6b9backed FURIA Esports | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 274 | 65.7%180 W · 94 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed LOUD | 20c | 441$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked LOUD | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked LOUD | 13c | 386$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked FURIA Esports | 60c | 367.2$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.2 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed LOUD | 7c | 327$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked LOUD | 28c | 326.45$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 950 | 41.6%395 W · 555 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…b62dbacked LOUD | 22c | 307.18$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.58 | 685 | 57.5%394 W · 291 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked LOUD | 34c | 278.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.28 | 584 | 20.2%118 W · 466 L | -58.1wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked LOUD | 42c | 238.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 252 | 56.3%142 W · 110 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed LOUD | 35c | 238.31$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.41 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…3c23backed LOUD | 41c | 184.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed FURIA Esports | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 798 | 64.3%513 W · 285 L | +32.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked LOUD | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae6…7acabacked LOUD | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed FURIA Esports | 62c | 130$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed FURIA Esports | 67c | 126.15$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 738 | 51.5%380 W · 358 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed LOUD | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 572 | 22.7%130 W · 442 L | -48.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed FURIA Esports | 61c | 125$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…2a25backed LOUD | 38c | 120$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 964 | 52.7%508 W · 456 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed LOUD | 21c | 114.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d9…25cbbacked FURIA Esports | 77c | 107.4$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 161 | 59%95 W · 66 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed LOUD | 21c | 106.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…df06backed LOUD | 38c | 101.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed FURIA Esports | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…34e9backed FURIA Esports | 60c | 93.35$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 775 | 45%349 W · 426 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed LOUD | 30c | 93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 487 | 47%229 W · 258 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed LOUD | 30c | 93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 573 | 49.4%283 W · 290 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked LOUD | 39c | 90$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked LOUD | 26c | 88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 331 | 53.2%176 W · 155 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…c533backed FURIA Esports | 61c | 72.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 217 | 63.6%138 W · 79 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed LOUD | 17c | 66.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked LOUD | 23c | 55.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 187 | 38.5%72 W · 115 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…ced8backed FURIA Esports | 72c | 51.82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 323 | 71.2%230 W · 93 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…6ad4backed LOUD | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 182 | 31.3%57 W · 125 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked FURIA Esports | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked FURIA Esports | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x215c…2414backed FURIA Esports | 75c | 43.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed FURIA Esports | 75c | 40.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed LOUD | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed FURIA Esports | 72c | 34.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed FURIA Esports | 71c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked FURIA Esports | 79c | 31.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 386 | 55.2%213 W · 173 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…1bfebacked FURIA Esports | 80c | 30.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 251 | 65.7%165 W · 86 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c25…6bbcbacked FURIA Esports | 76c | 27.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed FURIA Esports | 66c | 25.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 522 | 52.5%274 W · 248 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc0…ac69backed FURIA Esports | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 205 | 55.1%113 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1b…bc10backed FURIA Esports | 76c | 13.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 138 | 58%80 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5b…6fe1backed FURIA Esports | 80c | 12.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.52 | 234 | 71.8%168 W · 66 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)FURIA Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL PlayoffsFURIA Esports won
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD - Game 2 WinnerFURIA Esports won
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD - Game 3 WinnerFURIA Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.