CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Color - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb33caab2b80587c4e17ff388e11d7df8034e83448b80426cb49b8b9bde230537
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metizportof Metizport, Color
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Color | 40c | 3,788$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.49 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Metizport | 64c | 1,613$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.93 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Metizport | 72c | 1,610$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.03 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Metizport | 60c | 1,603$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.13 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Color | 53c | 1,461$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.98 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked Color | 52c | 1,038$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.04 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Color | 43c | 938$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.21 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5439…c45bbacked Metizport | 72c | 913.38$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.44 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Color | 29c | 871.87$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.65 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked Color | 31c | 867.31$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.55 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -15.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Metizport | 54c | 816.76$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.39 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Metizport | 66c | 726.86$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.28 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Color | 23c | 544.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.45 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed Metizport | 61c | 536.44$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.5 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Color | 21c | 516.66$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.64 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Metizport | 54c | 515.14$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.59 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Color | 44c | 500$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.25 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Color | 37c | 499.88$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.89 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Color | 45c | 498.77$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.87 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Color | 49c | 491.28$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.31 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Color | 50c | 445$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.81 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Metizport | 77c | 385$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.55 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…7691backed Metizport | 55c | 354$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.3 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Metizport | 53c | 318.01$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.77 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Metizport | 45c | 291.96$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.58 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Color | 47c | 289.73$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.03 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Metizport | 69c | 286.14$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.06 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Metizport | 64c | 235.33$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Metizport | 51c | 232$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.09 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Color | 37c | 225$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…2d03backed Color | 49c | 218.06$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.85 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…7348backed Metizport | 55c | 182.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.09 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Metizport | 52c | 182$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.26 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Color | 19c | 178.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Color | 30c | 172.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Metizport | 53c | 125.59$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.03 | 217 | 52.5%114 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Metizport | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Metizport | 66c | 120$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Color | 52c | 111.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked Color | 48c | 108.58$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Color | 40c | 100.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Color | 57c | 96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Color | 15c | 95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Metizport | 70c | 94.08$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Color | 39c | 91.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Metizport | 54c | 90.55$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5008…9466backed Metizport | 65c | 84.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Color | 33c | 83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Metizport | 67c | 78.55$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Color | 41c | 78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Metizport | 78c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Color | 38c | 62.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Metizport | 71c | 58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked Color | 35c | 54.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Color | 49c | 50.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Color | 29c | 49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Color | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Metizport | 60c | 39.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 154 | 69.5%107 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c19…6d8abacked Color | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Metizport | 53c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Metizport | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Metizport | 56c | 25.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd396…442cbacked Metizport | 62c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Color | 50c | 23.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Metizport | 63c | 22.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…cb91backed Metizport | 65c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66a6…f22bbacked Metizport | 65c | 18.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd955…d1b3backed Metizport | 63c | 17.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x395a…eb72backed Metizport | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Metizport | 72c | 13.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Color - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Color (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 PlayoffsMetizport won
- Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Color - Map 2 WinnerColor won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: MZP (-1.5) vs Color (+1.5)Color won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.