Lol · resolved market
LoL: DIA Ozarox Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb4c581f61454579644ff8769e94780e2ddcf13724f5e23402c5489a4923e503
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof DIA Ozarox Esports, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Bushido Wildcats | 78c | 1,472$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.01 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 22c | 1,329$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.88 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077e…1fb0backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 38c | 544.37$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 186 | 58.1%108 W · 78 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…60cfbacked Bushido Wildcats | 68c | 443.88$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.88 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…46f8backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 273 | 40.7%111 W · 162 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd747…076cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 61c | 326.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.52 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 32c | 300$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.36 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bushido Wildcats | 79c | 282.4$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.34 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…86c4backed Bushido Wildcats | 80c | 200.51$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 26c | 170.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…2485backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 20c | 131.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 9c | 129.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 414 | 69.3%287 W · 127 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bushido Wildcats | 69c | 57.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Bushido Wildcats | 68c | 56.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Bushido Wildcats | 70c | 41.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 283 | 29.7%84 W · 199 L | -32.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd182…0783backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 42c | 40.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 37c | 39.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe67f…c3f3backed Bushido Wildcats | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…8703backed Bushido Wildcats | 76c | 34.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 41c | 34.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 117 | 35%41 W · 76 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Bushido Wildcats | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…c227backed Bushido Wildcats | 79c | 18.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 80 | 83.8%67 W · 13 L | +11.2wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: DIA Ozarox Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 4 Winnerthis page
- LoL: DIA Ozarox Esports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO5) - TCL PlayoffsBushido Wildcats won
- LoL: DIA Ozarox Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 1 WinnerDIA Ozarox Esports won
- LoL: DIA Ozarox Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 2 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
- LoL: DIA Ozarox Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 3 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.