Lol · resolved market
LoL: DIA Ozarox Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a6fb13e658ce5d770d7cd94ce861e9453377ef55a8ed6e99fc5530213965fd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof DIA Ozarox Esports, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Bushido Wildcats | 78c | 1,222$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.36 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…46f8backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 25c | 1,100$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.37 | 273 | 40.7%111 W · 162 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 70c | 763.86$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.21 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…7275backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 19c | 499.93$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 155 | 34.8%54 W · 101 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 44c | 419.42$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.05 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dee…30b1backed Bushido Wildcats | 78c | 380.43$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.84 | 196 | 63.3%124 W · 72 L | +17.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…1963backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 54c | 324.79$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.69 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 75c | 319.72$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.69 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac3…6ec2backed Bushido Wildcats | 36c | 290$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.2 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…6fa9backed Bushido Wildcats | 38c | 274.61$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 24c | 262.12$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.81 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 27c | 183.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 36c | 168.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 25c | 148.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 10c | 119.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…4fabbacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 25c | 119$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 338 | 57.7%195 W · 143 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x040c…1b97backed Bushido Wildcats | 80c | 75.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…2960backed Bushido Wildcats | 67c | 74.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 164 | 44.5%73 W · 91 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 26c | 67.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 580 | 43.3%251 W · 329 L | -47.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Bushido Wildcats | 79c | 67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 243 | 56.4%137 W · 106 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 25c | 61.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 283 | 29.7%84 W · 199 L | -32.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 32c | 52.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xaa1a…df7ebacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 344 | 31.7%109 W · 235 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…776fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 77c | 50.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa20…c732backed Bushido Wildcats | 79c | 45.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df3…9ac3backed Bushido Wildcats | 38c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 420 | 55%231 W · 189 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 60c | 41.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 209 | 67%140 W · 69 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 33c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb025…174dbacked Bushido Wildcats | 74c | 36.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -55%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Bushido Wildcats | 68c | 29.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 528 | 48.9%258 W · 270 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5008…9466backed Bushido Wildcats | 65c | 28.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: DIA Ozarox Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- LoL: DIA Ozarox Esports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO5) - TCL PlayoffsBushido Wildcats won
- LoL: DIA Ozarox Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 1 WinnerDIA Ozarox Esports won
- LoL: DIA Ozarox Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 2 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
- LoL: DIA Ozarox Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 4 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.