Lol · resolved market
LoL: DIA Ozarox Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6506d742283027475c3f6dc7622bb28d56b3bf99617440da9696221a79c6a5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DIA Ozarox Esportsof DIA Ozarox Esports, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…91a2backed Bushido Wildcats | 4c | 700$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 60 | 1.7%1 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 26c | 522.36$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.26 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…46f8backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 36c | 500$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.83 | 273 | 40.7%111 W · 162 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bushido Wildcats | 74c | 441.62$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bushido Wildcats | 71c | 417.05$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.82 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 376 | 33.5%126 W · 250 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Bushido Wildcats | 60c | 300$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.2 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Bushido Wildcats | 75c | 267.35$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.64 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 51c | 250.13$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.13 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 38c | 244.4$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.14 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed Bushido Wildcats | 70c | 163.45$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.75 | 535 | 45.2%242 W · 293 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd2…2b8fbacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 26c | 157.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.49 | 428 | 51.2%219 W · 209 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 80c | 138.16$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.87 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bushido Wildcats | 66c | 98.7$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.17 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…7275backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 33c | 97.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.55 | 155 | 34.8%54 W · 101 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3c…5937backed Bushido Wildcats | 77c | 97.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bushido Wildcats | 66c | 91.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Bushido Wildcats | 55c | 81.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 283 | 29.7%84 W · 199 L | -32.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Bushido Wildcats | 16c | 80.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 634 | 26%165 W · 469 L | -90.0wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -54%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…824cbacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 64c | 75.52$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df3…9ac3backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 29c | 59.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 420 | 55%231 W · 189 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Bushido Wildcats | 71c | 58.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 39c | 56.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 26c | 47.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 580 | 43.3%251 W · 329 L | -47.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 31c | 47.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6b…dc55backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 37c | 43.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Bushido Wildcats | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 67c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Bushido Wildcats | 67c | 32.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Bushido Wildcats | 33c | 30.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 161 | 30.4%49 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Bushido Wildcats | 33c | 30.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 67c | 27.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 46c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 395 | 7.1%28 W · 367 L | -122.2wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: DIA Ozarox Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: DIA Ozarox Esports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO5) - TCL PlayoffsBushido Wildcats won
- LoL: DIA Ozarox Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 2 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
- LoL: DIA Ozarox Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 3 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
- LoL: DIA Ozarox Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 4 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.