CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: BW (-1.5) vs Fortress (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce5fa7b67f65faa9c6329ec8bd61eb041e4780143ce6426815b9c2763673b0d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof Bushido Wildcats, Fortress
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 70c | 3,663$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.02 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 69c | 1,395$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.36 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Fortress | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…60cfbacked Fortress | 32c | 1,030$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.7 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Fortress | 35c | 741.92$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.1 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbe…0406backed Bushido Wildcats | 59c | 735.17$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.39 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…e868backed Fortress | 40c | 675.93$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdef8…dccfbacked Bushido Wildcats | 60c | 420$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…fb40backed Bushido Wildcats | 61c | 341.32$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Fortress | 32c | 334.38$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed Fortress | 44c | 289$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.16 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Fortress | 40c | 285.7$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.28 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1d…c307backed Fortress | 29c | 267.93$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd30b…2acdbacked Bushido Wildcats | 60c | 235.32$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d1…a23fbacked Fortress | 31c | 203.23$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 72c | 202$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.56 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d3…1b1fbacked Fortress | 30c | 199$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…0261backed Fortress | 30c | 191.79$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Fortress | 32c | 190.94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…d36dbacked Fortress | 40c | 187$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -8.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Fortress | 29c | 172$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | -13.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Fortress | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked Fortress | 40c | 140.63$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…4169backed Bushido Wildcats | 72c | 138.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Fortress | 41c | 128.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Bushido Wildcats | 68c | 98.31$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…46eebacked Bushido Wildcats | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Fortress | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…d8b8backed Bushido Wildcats | 73c | 48.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bushido Wildcats | 62c | 42.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed Fortress | 41c | 41.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Bushido Wildcats | 60c | 28.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 60c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -15.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x06ad…6b2fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -9.5wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: BW (-1.5) vs Fortress (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Fortress (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsBushido Wildcats won
- Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Fortress - Map 1 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
- Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Fortress - Map 2 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.