CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Fortress (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04fff2ee57299db77dbf1ab98985d899103ced70183bf6b859e96025ed74f68e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof Bushido Wildcats, Fortress
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fortress | 9c | 3,134$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.34 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Fortress | 4c | 1,809$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.23 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Fortress | 9c | 1,633$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.09 | 336 | 27.7%93 W · 243 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…9cb5backed Fortress | 19c | 643.55$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.68 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcefd…d6aabacked Fortress | 14c | 493.71$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Fortress | 10c | 483.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Fortress | 14c | 442.14$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.9 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…fc9bbacked Fortress | 14c | 356.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…e868backed Fortress | 15c | 353.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…7579backed Fortress | 14c | 327$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Fortress | 8c | 306.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Fortress | 7c | 300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b51…cf1ebacked Fortress | 16c | 271.39$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Fortress | 14c | 256.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked Fortress | 12c | 219.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa417…9f8cbacked Fortress | 13c | 188$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a8…8c5cbacked Fortress | 8c | 165$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b88…16e6backed Fortress | 9c | 163.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 158 | 23.4%37 W · 121 L | -18.0wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Fortress | 9c | 146.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Fortress | 9c | 140$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…8892backed Fortress | 13c | 107.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…614abacked Fortress | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Fortress (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Fortress - Map 1 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
- Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Fortress - Map 2 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: BW (-1.5) vs Fortress (+1.5)Bushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.