Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs South America Rejects (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5dec81654ba9f854984b61ac8aae07e3aa6d30f331cd587e757a3bd5c6d3143
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South America Rejectsof Power Rangers, South America Rejects
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8681…ef99backed Power Rangers | 25c | 1,766$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.33 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked South America Rejects | 73c | 1,534$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.62 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked South America Rejects | 73c | 1,080$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.52 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Power Rangers | 27c | 956.2$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.17 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Power Rangers | 26c | 945.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.4 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Power Rangers | 33c | 875.93$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.38 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Power Rangers | 19c | 769.35$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.03 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Power Rangers | 26c | 741.58$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.1 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…f1b7backed South America Rejects | 73c | 688.6$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Power Rangers | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed South America Rejects | 73c | 595.2$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.66 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed South America Rejects | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…c9ecbacked South America Rejects | 76c | 464.27$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.42 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6a…1ddbbacked South America Rejects | 74c | 463.7$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.56 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Power Rangers | 26c | 445.06$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.84 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Power Rangers | 29c | 403.19$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.83 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Power Rangers | 13c | 386.69$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed South America Rejects | 76c | 385.79$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.59 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed South America Rejects | 75c | 360$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked South America Rejects | 74c | 347.54$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.77 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b86…dd8fbacked South America Rejects | 75c | 330.96$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.74 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…60cfbacked South America Rejects | 70c | 310.7$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aba…debfbacked Power Rangers | 18c | 307.92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Power Rangers | 6c | 304.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Power Rangers | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Power Rangers | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Power Rangers | 26c | 270.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.06 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Power Rangers | 27c | 263.91$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.26 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed South America Rejects | 76c | 259.87$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed South America Rejects | 64c | 248.8$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…d88cbacked Power Rangers | 11c | 236.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked Power Rangers | 27c | 236.39$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd037…5ea2backed South America Rejects | 74c | 210.18$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.65 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Power Rangers | 16c | 198.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Power Rangers | 28c | 172.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Power Rangers | 19c | 155.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Power Rangers | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed South America Rejects | 77c | 128.02$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Power Rangers | 27c | 124.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Power Rangers | 18c | 118.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Power Rangers | 27c | 106.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 122 | 29.5%36 W · 86 L | -18.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Power Rangers | 26c | 106$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4679…cd40backed South America Rejects | 64c | 102.73$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked South America Rejects | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Power Rangers | 25c | 97.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e8…db37backed South America Rejects | 74c | 87.37$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed South America Rejects | 73c | 80.25$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a06…c6a9backed Power Rangers | 27c | 77.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…2d2dbacked South America Rejects | 64c | 74.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Power Rangers | 27c | 72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked South America Rejects | 76c | 70.54$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…4ae7backed South America Rejects | 74c | 70.09$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed South America Rejects | 73c | 69.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed South America Rejects | 74c | 67.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Power Rangers | 24c | 64.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 245 | 18.8%46 W · 199 L | -31.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Power Rangers | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked South America Rejects | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Power Rangers | 27c | 47.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked Power Rangers | 27c | 45.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed South America Rejects | 75c | 45.06$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 105 | 71.4%75 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47eb…a1aebacked South America Rejects | 79c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed South America Rejects | 75c | 31.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked South America Rejects | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdea0…f99cbacked South America Rejects | 74c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked South America Rejects | 76c | 19.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 268 | 46.6%125 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67eb…b7d9backed South America Rejects | 76c | 13.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs South America Rejects (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs South America Rejects - Game 1 WinnerSouth America Rejects won
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs South America Rejects - Game 2 WinnerSouth America Rejects won
- Game Handicap: SAR (-1.5) vs Power Rangers (+1.5)South America Rejects won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.