TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Power Rangers vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
South America Rejectsof Power Rangers, South America Rejects
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,691
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,247

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,691 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc0f5…3d04backed Power Rangers29c5,705$1,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,661.1551049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked South America Rejects72c5,509$3,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.641,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed South America Rejects71c4,425$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.4347046.6%219 W · 251 L+1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed South America Rejects71c2,725$1,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.9245750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Power Rangers37c2,305$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.9771454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Power Rangers35c1,293$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.5247650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked Power Rangers24c1,050$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.6129240.4%118 W · 174 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Power Rangers24c1,000$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.556852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Power Rangers20c802.33$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.7125935.5%92 W · 167 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93aa…6ac0backed Power Rangers26c590.74$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.594438.6%17 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e63…9e38backed South America Rejects75c467.83$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9634561.2%211 W · 134 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Power Rangers11c446.32$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3415949.7%79 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x315f…85c6backed Power Rangers45c433.75$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.6429347.4%139 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked South America Rejects77c421$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.891356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Power Rangers25c376.58$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5230534.4%105 W · 200 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked South America Rejects80c344.98$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7242145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked South America Rejects76c342.1$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.511,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked South America Rejects75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7536759.1%217 W · 150 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b15…a031backed South America Rejects73c290.23$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.462556%14 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4414…9474backed Power Rangers35c274.57$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.16950.7%35 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc82c…25afbacked South America Rejects72c252.61$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.141163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Power Rangers17c250$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.514661%89 W · 57 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e3…57b5backed South America Rejects80c246.98$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6934860.1%209 W · 139 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82ef…840bbacked South America Rejects76c239.55$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.239058.9%53 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed South America Rejects62c234.99$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.351,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Power Rangers29c228$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.362,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Power Rangers33c193.56$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.651,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked South America Rejects77c193.04$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.175354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Power Rangers34c191.33$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0556243.2%243 W · 319 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed South America Rejects66c187.43$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7310961.5%67 W · 42 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed Power Rangers14c187.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.379343.6%346 W · 447 L+38.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Power Rangers22c158.23$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0237223.1%86 W · 286 L-38.2wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed South America Rejects57c150.52$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2330647.4%145 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Power Rangers33c147.75$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.081,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Power Rangers34c140.4$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7424138.6%93 W · 148 L-18.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked South America Rejects72c138.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8736654.1%198 W · 168 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x839f…c2cebacked Power Rangers24c124.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0619951.8%103 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Power Rangers23c123.19$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.192,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked South America Rejects78c119.74$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6413157.3%75 W · 56 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x11ea…594fbacked South America Rejects73c108.74$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5615942.8%68 W · 91 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf755…8e37backed Power Rangers27c106.53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.767268.1%49 W · 23 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x48f7…3aebbacked South America Rejects71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2966848.5%324 W · 344 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0702…e5eabacked South America Rejects71c99.88$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9740745.5%185 W · 222 L-1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Power Rangers28c87.39$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2464123.4%150 W · 491 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed South America Rejects75c87$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7555147.5%262 W · 289 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed Power Rangers36c74.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.120858.7%122 W · 86 L+22.1wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x5c97…c97abacked Power Rangers27c69.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.772917.2%5 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc696…7889backed Power Rangers29c66.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Power Rangers28c60.04$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.641,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x48ba…d81dbacked Power Rangers21c56.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.856343.9%247 W · 316 L-1.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed South America Rejects57c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2857449%281 W · 293 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14ed…6584backed South America Rejects74c51.64$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.532951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd439…21d3backed Power Rangers41c50.08$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5331644.9%142 W · 174 L-18.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed South America Rejects70c49.1$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7386451.7%447 W · 417 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked Power Rangers44c48.32$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2641244.7%184 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x710b…93b0backed South America Rejects74c39.39$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2412260.7%74 W · 48 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed South America Rejects68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.636044.2%159 W · 201 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac16…cca2backed South America Rejects74c26.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.923050%15 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed South America Rejects77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.978148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked South America Rejects77c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7558250.5%294 W · 288 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2738…358abacked South America Rejects75c17.18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.241258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.