Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57680c9e0c91c686ae70bdcb93edab135ac6ad9cc9174e5e95ebc7279f79ac70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South America Rejectsof Power Rangers, South America Rejects
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed Power Rangers | 0c | 13,255$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed South America Rejects | 75c | 4,513$3,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.46 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked South America Rejects | 68c | 2,272$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.97 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Power Rangers | 26c | 1,922$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.19 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Power Rangers | 32c | 1,520$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.4 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed South America Rejects | 69c | 1,420$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.41 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Power Rangers | 30c | 1,395$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.25 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Power Rangers | 29c | 1,058$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.24 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed South America Rejects | 66c | 948.71$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.56 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Power Rangers | 24c | 841.57$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.12 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Power Rangers | 38c | 770.14$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.97 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…9c0abacked Power Rangers | 35c | 655.04$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.46 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked South America Rejects | 72c | 566.38$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.66 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Power Rangers | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Power Rangers | 33c | 388.11$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.08 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Power Rangers | 29c | 302.88$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.78 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Power Rangers | 34c | 285.95$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.01 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ef…840bbacked Power Rangers | 34c | 282.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Power Rangers | 34c | 275.52$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.32 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked South America Rejects | 69c | 273.81$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.95 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Power Rangers | 30c | 258.03$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.59 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Power Rangers | 25c | 220.54$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a47…5e77backed Power Rangers | 33c | 203.59$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Power Rangers | 31c | 202.47$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.76 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Power Rangers | 31c | 173.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Power Rangers | 32c | 149.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed South America Rejects | 69c | 143.22$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed South America Rejects | 67c | 134.33$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Power Rangers | 36c | 107.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Power Rangers | 33c | 102.76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed South America Rejects | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Power Rangers | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c4…c69dbacked Power Rangers | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed South America Rejects | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d5…dc17backed South America Rejects | 75c | 94.83$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 73 | 76.7%56 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Power Rangers | 26c | 77.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed South America Rejects | 80c | 74.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Power Rangers | 18c | 64.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2738…358abacked South America Rejects | 70c | 63.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Power Rangers | 32c | 62.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked South America Rejects | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Power Rangers | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Power Rangers | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed South America Rejects | 69c | 49.91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked South America Rejects | 70c | 47.69$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Power Rangers | 26c | 39.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 245 | 18.8%46 W · 199 L | -31.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed South America Rejects | 76c | 38.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…cca2backed South America Rejects | 68c | 35.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Power Rangers | 32c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed South America Rejects | 69c | 34.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdadd…5721backed South America Rejects | 69c | 32.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…af5ebacked South America Rejects | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked South America Rejects | 69c | 22.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 279 | 52.3%146 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked South America Rejects | 64c | 18.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked South America Rejects | 73c | 13.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs South America Rejects (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group BSouth America Rejects won
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs South America Rejects - Game 2 WinnerSouth America Rejects won
- Game Handicap: SAR (-1.5) vs Power Rangers (+1.5)South America Rejects won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.