TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Power Rangers vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
South America Rejectsof Power Rangers, South America Rejects
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,133
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,009

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,133 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xda47…c2e9backed Power Rangers0c13,255$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2511858.5%69 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed South America Rejects75c4,513$3,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.4651049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked South America Rejects68c2,272$1,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.971,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Power Rangers26c1,922$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.1945750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Power Rangers32c1,520$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.495342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf67d…c986backed South America Rejects69c1,420$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.4139042.1%164 W · 226 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Power Rangers30c1,395$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.251,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Power Rangers29c1,058$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.2456243.2%243 W · 319 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed South America Rejects66c948.71$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.5656852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Power Rangers24c841.57$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.1247046.6%219 W · 251 L+1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe999…12bdbacked Power Rangers38c770.14$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.9718156.4%102 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2a…9c0abacked Power Rangers35c655.04$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.464238.1%16 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked South America Rejects72c566.38$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.665556.4%31 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8d75backed Power Rangers32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16024251.7%125 W · 117 L+21.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Power Rangers33c388.11$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.0813854.3%75 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Power Rangers29c302.88$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.781,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed Power Rangers34c285.95$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0148054%259 W · 221 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82ef…840bbacked Power Rangers34c282.47$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.049058.9%53 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Power Rangers34c275.52$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3215342.5%65 W · 88 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked South America Rejects69c273.81$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.9586659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Power Rangers30c258.03$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5967043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Power Rangers25c220.54$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.22,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a47…5e77backed Power Rangers33c203.59$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.191145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+40.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Power Rangers31c202.47$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7647650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Power Rangers31c173.16$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4130534.4%105 W · 200 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Power Rangers32c149.88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9691356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed South America Rejects69c143.22$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5413152.7%69 W · 62 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e63…9e38backed South America Rejects67c134.33$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9834561.2%211 W · 134 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x11ff…4447backed Power Rangers36c107.25$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6122534.2%77 W · 148 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Power Rangers33c102.76$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7716437.2%61 W · 103 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b15…a031backed South America Rejects70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302556%14 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Power Rangers15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61c4…c69dbacked Power Rangers20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed South America Rejects66c99.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d5…dc17backed South America Rejects75c94.83$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.717376.7%56 W · 17 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Power Rangers26c77.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed South America Rejects80c74.51$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2525457.9%147 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Power Rangers18c64.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4537223.1%86 W · 286 L-38.2wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2738…358abacked South America Rejects70c63.13$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.941258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed Power Rangers32c62.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9437745.4%171 W · 206 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x839f…c2cebacked South America Rejects66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1719951.8%103 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed Power Rangers26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1379343.6%346 W · 447 L+38.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed Power Rangers31c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.597142.7%415 W · 556 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2b2…2e80backed South America Rejects69c49.91$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.362055%11 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked South America Rejects70c47.69$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0817853.4%95 W · 83 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Power Rangers26c39.45$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.324518.8%46 W · 199 L-31.2wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-46%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed South America Rejects76c38.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2527357.1%156 W · 117 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac16…cca2backed South America Rejects68c35.78$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.453050%15 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Power Rangers32c35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.21,01345.5%461 W · 552 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed South America Rejects69c34.35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6548352.4%253 W · 230 L-2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdadd…5721backed South America Rejects69c32.45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.191540%6 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-42.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x76e5…af5ebacked South America Rejects64c30.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.011947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked South America Rejects69c22.95$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1227952.3%146 W · 133 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48f7…3aebbacked South America Rejects64c18.81$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7966848.5%324 W · 344 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked South America Rejects73c13.77$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.721,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.