CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebf7b79bc991d85851f19ec04852b7cef863924283fb30f1ccdefd301b785584
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 74c | 6,615$4,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.69 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 75c | 2,435$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.23 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x719b…30e5backed Over | 25c | 1,449$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…98c0backed Over | 26c | 1,260$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 26c | 1,015$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.41 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 74c | 1,014$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.51 | 610 | 55.9%341 W · 269 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Over | 28c | 928.46$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.3 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 71c | 845.07$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.07 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Over | 29c | 711$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.14 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Over | 27c | 614.36$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.07 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcefd…d6aabacked Over | 27c | 544.69$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.5 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Over | 25c | 521.33$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.77 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0e…ea7bbacked Over | 25c | 497$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 26c | 450.11$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.81 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Over | 26c | 421.59$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.61 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Over | 27c | 407$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | +12.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20f4…49c8backed Over | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af0…fea7backed Over | 26c | 341.65$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.83 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a66…fa83backed Over | 28c | 321.43$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…3e7abacked Over | 25c | 283.79$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Over | 25c | 244$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b6…eec6backed Over | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d3…1b1fbacked Over | 27c | 210.76$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86ca…bc47backed Over | 25c | 210$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…60cfbacked Over | 26c | 203.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 74c | 192.65$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Over | 29c | 182.4$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 343 | 40.8%140 W · 203 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Under | 62c | 167.45$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.21 | 742 | 39.1%290 W · 452 L | -29.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Under | 76c | 158.47$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1d…c307backed Over | 26c | 152.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed Over | 26c | 124.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 36c | 100.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Under | 62c | 80.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 394 | 69.3%273 W · 121 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 39c | 76.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed Over | 24c | 71.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 20c | 67.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc0…6e1dbacked Under | 78c | 63.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 36c | 58.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Under | 77c | 58.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 141 | 68.8%97 W · 44 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 25c | 53.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 921 | 45.8%422 W · 499 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 32c | 43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 72c | 38.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Under | 72c | 33.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 34c | 33.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…9de3backed Under | 77c | 32.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 423 | 71.9%304 W · 119 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Under | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Under | 71c | 25.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdf…2d41backed Under | 77c | 19.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed Under | 74c | 15.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Lilmix (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group Dfnatic won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Lilmix - Map 1 Winnerfnatic won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Lilmix - Map 2 Winnerfnatic won
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Lilmix (+1.5)fnatic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.