Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs UB Alma Mater (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac85b70d7ee9353d98bb4bc2a33e062f09e36f84896fda3a880cbacea81cd481
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UB Alma Materof Team Heretics Academy, UB Alma Mater
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff1…98c0backed UB Alma Mater | 10c | 11,425$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,323 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +145.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x719b…30e5backed UB Alma Mater | 10c | 11,317$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,186.95 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…f601backed UB Alma Mater | 10c | 7,500$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,752.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked UB Alma Mater | 7c | 1,241$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.13 | 358 | 48.9%175 W · 183 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…864bbacked UB Alma Mater | 9c | 1,130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.07 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked UB Alma Mater | 9c | 1,045$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.71 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed UB Alma Mater | 8c | 916.06$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.43 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed UB Alma Mater | 9c | 694$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.25 | 460 | 50.7%233 W · 227 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1d…c307backed UB Alma Mater | 9c | 660.25$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.91 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed UB Alma Mater | 7c | 501.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.92 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed UB Alma Mater | 9c | 495.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.69 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…c297backed Team Heretics Academy | 41c | 485.78$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.09 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e6…59dbbacked UB Alma Mater | 7c | 436.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.12 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed UB Alma Mater | 10c | 420.31$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.41 | 169 | 33.1%56 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed UB Alma Mater | 6c | 400.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.58 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…694fbacked UB Alma Mater | 10c | 360$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…391dbacked UB Alma Mater | 7c | 330$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.9 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed UB Alma Mater | 53c | 323.82$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.56 | 972 | 54.3%528 W · 444 L | +46.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…60cfbacked UB Alma Mater | 7c | 314.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.92 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed UB Alma Mater | 7c | 311.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.11 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe200…1b78backed Team Heretics Academy | 9c | 290$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked UB Alma Mater | 7c | 277$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.61 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed UB Alma Mater | 10c | 267.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.18 | 197 | 52.8%104 W · 93 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked UB Alma Mater | 9c | 233$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.26 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974c…3269backed UB Alma Mater | 7c | 231.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.23 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…09b7backed UB Alma Mater | 8c | 228$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.12 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed UB Alma Mater | 8c | 224.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.62 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24fb…2b5dbacked UB Alma Mater | 5c | 203.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +355.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a66…fa83backed UB Alma Mater | 8c | 172.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +301.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Heretics Academy | 79c | 160.77$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.56 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed UB Alma Mater | 8c | 136.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.01 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +137.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…33a4backed UB Alma Mater | 9c | 121.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633c…54bebacked UB Alma Mater | 9c | 115.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,031.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Team Heretics Academy | 16c | 101.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 1,168 | 66.1%772 W · 396 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked UB Alma Mater | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Team Heretics Academy | 72c | 85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 207 | 55.6%115 W · 92 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs UB Alma Mater (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UB Alma Mater (BO3) - LES Regular SeasonTeam Heretics Academy won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UB Alma Mater - Game 1 WinnerTeam Heretics Academy won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UB Alma Mater - Game 2 WinnerUB Alma Mater won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.