Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e9eb648645fe36f12008ab945da2011fff659ff28d04aae08a41a4614feaa19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 23c | 960.02$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.53 | 972 | 54.3%528 W · 444 L | +46.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9219…027cbacked Over | 12c | 777$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +137.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…c297backed Over | 11c | 622.81$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.64 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Over | 8c | 387.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.5 | 197 | 52.8%104 W · 93 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Over | 68c | 375.02$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.75 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 42c | 280.6$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce5c…a409backed Over | 8c | 234.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c84…676abacked Over | 8c | 234.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Over | 9c | 200$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.06 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Under | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.86 | 266 | 30.8%82 W · 184 L | -26.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed Over | 9c | 166.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.56 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Over | 10c | 165.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.47 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Over | 10c | 158$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.2 | 169 | 33.1%56 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 29c | 128.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56bf…0852backed Over | 9c | 125.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.57 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Over | 74c | 119.7$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…09b7backed Over | 10c | 115$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.55 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 44c | 89.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 2,303 | 39.4%907 W · 1,396 L | -82.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 72c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44e…284abacked Under | 71c | 28.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 198 | 38.9%77 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs UB Alma Mater (+1.5)UB Alma Mater won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UB Alma Mater (BO3) - LES Regular SeasonTeam Heretics Academy won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UB Alma Mater - Game 1 WinnerTeam Heretics Academy won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UB Alma Mater - Game 2 WinnerUB Alma Mater won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.