Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ce40c95f8e904a736ed89ad7b9202f4c220ebb1862656a788a6da4116b0f434
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 45c | 2,715$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.15 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae6…4f85backed Under | 52c | 1,967$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.22 | 672 | 76.9%517 W · 155 L | +87.3wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 52c | 1,908$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.04 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Under | 34c | 1,431$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.63 | 404 | 64.4%260 W · 144 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 61c | 1,270$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.98 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f81…5410backed Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Over | 44c | 579.25$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.13 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 50c | 523$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.5 | 2,330 | 39.4%919 W · 1,411 L | -83.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Over | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,060 | 28.5%302 W · 758 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…6788backed Under | 64c | 400.63$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.55 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Under | 58c | 376.48$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.32 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Under | 80c | 305.78$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.17 | 1,187 | 51.9%616 W · 571 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…75ccbacked Over | 35c | 300$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1,013 | 49.1%497 W · 516 L | +29.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed Under | 50c | 260.82$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.41 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Under | 5c | 240.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.19 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Over | 29c | 210.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 2,367 | 31.9%756 W · 1,611 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Under | 73c | 200.78$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddd…5366backed Under | 72c | 182.5$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 120 | 60%72 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Under | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 337 | 36.5%123 W · 214 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Under | 67c | 145.27$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 288 | 55.9%161 W · 127 L | -20.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Over | 36c | 140.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 431 | 48%207 W · 224 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Under | 73c | 137.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 196 | 40.3%79 W · 117 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Under | 18c | 134.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.01 | 392 | 39%153 W · 239 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed Over | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…dd35backed Under | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…9fb7backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Under | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Under | 43c | 93.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.98 | 293 | 35.2%103 W · 190 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Over | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 844 | 50.1%423 W · 421 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 24c | 78.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,730 | 29.5%510 W · 1,220 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Under | 65c | 68.68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…25dfbacked Under | 51c | 52.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 35c | 47.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd395…4fd6backed Under | 50c | 44.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b1…b332backed Under | 67c | 37.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 431 | 38.1%164 W · 267 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Over | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked Over | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 521 | 51.8%270 W · 251 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb597…2949backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 28.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Over | 51c | 21.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -5.9wins | -0.22per pick | 63cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA Challengers (+1.5)T1 Academy won
- LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group StageT1 Academy won
- LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 WinnerT1 Academy won
- LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 WinnerT1 Academy won
- LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 WinnerDplus KIA Challengers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.