CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Imperial - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6f835e75620d29a41acb53ce680ef4aa3a7b53716f2555e8278df0672055517
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof Sharks, Imperial
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,505
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sharks | 51c | 1,127$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.43 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Imperial | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 385 | 52.2%201 W · 184 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Imperial | 38c | 365.11$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.34 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd4…2fd4backed Imperial | 64c | 136.53$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.54 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Imperial | 61c | 90$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.68 | 873 | 51.2%447 W · 426 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c6…a5dcbacked Imperial | 58c | 86.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sharks | 44c | 86.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Sharks | 42c | 81.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 402 | 34.6%139 W · 263 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Imperial | 61c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Imperial | 60c | 55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Sharks | 42c | 41.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -9.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Sharks | 49c | 30.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…5347backed Imperial | 72c | 30.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Imperial | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Imperial | 55c | 26.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Imperial | 75c | 26.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Imperial | 74c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Sharks | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2811…13cdbacked Imperial | 58c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Imperial - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Imperial (BO3)Sharks won
- Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Imperial - Map 2 WinnerSharks won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.