TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Creighton Bluejays vs. Seton Hall Pirates

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Seton Hall Piratesof Creighton Bluejays, Seton Hall Pirates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,908
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,350

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,908 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3a61…b560backed Seton Hall Pirates27c7,786$2,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,680.348639.5%34 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Creighton Bluejays59c3,991$2,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,353.4712354.5%67 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Creighton Bluejays70c2,685$1,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,875.41,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Creighton Bluejays49c2,671$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.3955657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Seton Hall Pirates31c2,604$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,785.685,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28b9…9719backed Creighton Bluejays41c2,598$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.835831%18 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-33.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Creighton Bluejays53c2,141$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.443,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Seton Hall Pirates35c2,010$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.222,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7b6…31e9backed Seton Hall Pirates60c1,666$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.313964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Creighton Bluejays12c1,580$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.646446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Seton Hall Pirates51c1,522$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.51,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b96…32b3backed Seton Hall Pirates56c1,181$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked Creighton Bluejays11c950$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008814.8%13 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Seton Hall Pirates59c873.22$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.0112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked Seton Hall Pirates61c813.59$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.59540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Seton Hall Pirates31c803.94$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.9242327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Creighton Bluejays58c787.9$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.745,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x65f6…8333backed Seton Hall Pirates16c760.36$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.36850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+81.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Seton Hall Pirates60c658$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.462,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1584…2bf3backed Creighton Bluejays38c650.31$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.51520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-44.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Creighton Bluejays43c618.42$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.471,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Creighton Bluejays13c599.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8013313.5%18 W · 115 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Creighton Bluejays11c599.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641608.1%13 W · 147 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-42.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Creighton Bluejays9c599.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541478.8%13 W · 134 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Creighton Bluejays72c531.34$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3804652.2%24 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Creighton Bluejays46c368.69$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.162,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Creighton Bluejays71c311.85$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.693,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Creighton Bluejays43c281.57$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.8152928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Creighton Bluejays52c262.86$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.384,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Seton Hall Pirates26c220.04$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.82,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36c8…53a9backed Seton Hall Pirates53c207.28$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.821250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Creighton Bluejays74c200$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1487467.6%50 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Seton Hall Pirates26c200$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14819050.5%96 W · 94 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Seton Hall Pirates62c183.47$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7221830.7%67 W · 151 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b23…39fdbacked Creighton Bluejays42c142.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Seton Hall Pirates37c142.29$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.351,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Seton Hall Pirates39c136$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9549747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Creighton Bluejays70c129.53$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.0448051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x875e…157bbacked Creighton Bluejays39c126.92$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Seton Hall Pirates57c112.6$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4281453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Seton Hall Pirates20c101.15$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1553635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Creighton Bluejays57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5734649.1%170 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Creighton Bluejays39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Seton Hall Pirates34c95$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.79771.1%69 W · 28 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Creighton Bluejays53c74.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4053646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Seton Hall Pirates29c73.04$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5949043.1%211 W · 279 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24db…1332backed Seton Hall Pirates31c67.94$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1813219.7%26 W · 106 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Creighton Bluejays54c67.09$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.122,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c22…70a0backed Creighton Bluejays64c64.24$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+455.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Seton Hall Pirates58c51.89$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8923544.7%105 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Creighton Bluejays39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.513046.9%61 W · 69 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Seton Hall Pirates36c42.82$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.410447.1%49 W · 55 L-14.7wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-24.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Seton Hall Pirates29c42.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.054,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Seton Hall Pirates29c40.61$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.739412.8%12 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Seton Hall Pirates36c34.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.810458.7%61 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4add…8f36backed Seton Hall Pirates59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.94168.3%28 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Seton Hall Pirates60c33.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.434,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa324…1b67backed Seton Hall Pirates62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf702…7cc8backed Creighton Bluejays45c31.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1417544%77 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Creighton Bluejays68c30.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.422756.4%128 W · 99 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Creighton Bluejays48c29.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420051.5%103 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Seton Hall Pirates55c26.95$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1311743.6%51 W · 66 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2734…22efbacked Seton Hall Pirates47c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.127254.2%39 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae0b…63a4backed Creighton Bluejays73c20.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe9a…3487backed Creighton Bluejays73c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick73cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb694…023ebacked Creighton Bluejays71c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.651758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick69cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3be6…77bdbacked Creighton Bluejays77c14.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2db9…846cbacked Creighton Bluejays76c14.42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.025549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.