Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Florida State Seminoles vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88c8f32b38d20a6a10c71fb96e1cfd799ea491f6ef0d373ffaaf26ff922986ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida State Seminolesof Florida State Seminoles, Notre Dame Fighting Irish
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 53c | 11,919$6,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,317.29 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Florida State Seminoles | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Florida State Seminoles | 47c | 4,618$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426.94 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Florida State Seminoles | 69c | 1,974$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.64 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Florida State Seminoles | 72c | 1,493$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.87 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 30c | 1,307$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.15 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Florida State Seminoles | 46c | 1,295$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.3 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 27c | 1,148$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.4 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Florida State Seminoles | 47c | 1,069$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.51 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Florida State Seminoles | 74c | 1,029$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 21c | 950$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.99 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 26c | 906.88$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.51 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Florida State Seminoles | 47c | 796$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.88 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Florida State Seminoles | 77c | 772.62$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.76 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 53c | 612.77$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.77 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 53c | 436.82$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.7 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…eb6abacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 18c | 410.75$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Florida State Seminoles | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…107fbacked Florida State Seminoles | 51c | 365.88$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.68 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 27c | 363.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Florida State Seminoles | 70c | 321.99$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 28c | 291.65$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.66 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Florida State Seminoles | 41c | 260.93$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.17 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 32c | 249.23$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.27 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc58…1e76backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 16c | 218.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 34c | 216$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.87 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Florida State Seminoles | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9684…16ecbacked Florida State Seminoles | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db6…e1babacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 25cpaid | +127.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 57c | 176.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e3…2e82backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Florida State Seminoles | 70c | 170.17$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.22 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…69d0backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 36c | 160.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Florida State Seminoles | 70c | 139.59$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 27c | 135.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Florida State Seminoles | 75c | 135$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb3…b671backed Florida State Seminoles | 78c | 134.72$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 78cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Florida State Seminoles | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 23c | 132$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Florida State Seminoles | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 26c | 118.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Florida State Seminoles | 66c | 92.54$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 14c | 84.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Florida State Seminoles | 76c | 84.59$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…a4cdbacked Florida State Seminoles | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 48c | 68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 39c | 64.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 55c | 63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…61fdbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Florida State Seminoles | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Florida State Seminoles | 73c | 52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 28c | 49.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Florida State Seminoles | 59c | 49.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Florida State Seminoles | 44c | 48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Florida State Seminoles | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9a…3487backed Florida State Seminoles | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 29c | 35.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc757…f18cbacked Florida State Seminoles | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 66cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Florida State Seminoles | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 56c | 28.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Florida State Seminoles | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…e817backed Florida State Seminoles | 77c | 14.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Florida State Seminoles vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irishthis page
- Florida State Seminoles vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish: O/U 153.5Over won
- Spread: Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-2.5)Florida State Seminoles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.