Lol · resolved market
LoL: Japan vs Team Liquid (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04d9fde923755abbf6d9ea1720bb1ce16574fd89c4e3c11c1abf7bb9552d595e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Japan, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $195,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $215,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Japan | 3c | 20,973$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.26 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Japan | 10c | 11,782$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.88 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd958…0e3cbacked Japan | 10c | 9,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…b2e0backed Japan | 10c | 7,872$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.51 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Japan | 5c | 7,656$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.13 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…9df5backed Japan | 10c | 7,385$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945b…27c7backed Japan | 10c | 6,800$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Japan | 7c | 5,040$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.94 | 484 | 48.6%235 W · 249 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Japan | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Japan | 7c | 4,670$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.16 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Japan | 7c | 4,523$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.39 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Japan | 12c | 4,254$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Japan | 10c | 3,700$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367 | 295 | 36.9%109 W · 186 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Japan | 12c | 3,496$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.54 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8839…8a3ebacked Japan | 10c | 3,215$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Japan | 7c | 2,471$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.36 | 236 | 24.6%58 W · 178 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…7796backed Japan | 8c | 2,134$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 18cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Japan | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Japan | 5c | 2,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Japan | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Japan | 13c | 1,169$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Japan | 6c | 1,146$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.53 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Japan | 8c | 1,063$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.87 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Japan | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6334…ddf4backed Japan | 2c | 1,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Japan | 12c | 999.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 135 | 43%58 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x031c…0fefbacked Japan | 11c | 900$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Japan | 10c | 888$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…daabbacked Japan | 5c | 863.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Japan | 8c | 774.59$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.74 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4e9ebacked Japan | 6c | 702$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0890…bec4backed Japan | 8c | 687.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd795…6fcdbacked Japan | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a31cbacked Japan | 5c | 593.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 207 | 39.6%82 W · 125 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Japan | 8c | 580$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 447 | 51%228 W · 219 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Japan | 12c | 571.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…2a1fbacked Japan | 9c | 566.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 46.5%105 W · 121 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Japan | 7c | 559.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Japan | 6c | 540$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Japan | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…44adbacked Japan | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Japan | 4c | 499.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 194 | 51%99 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Japan | 6c | 481.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 27cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6e…0b19backed Japan | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…8a09backed Japan | 6c | 350$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x303b…53cabacked Japan | 8c | 340$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Japan | 10c | 300.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 596 | 47.7%284 W · 312 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Japan | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5320…f3b2backed Japan | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x114d…661fbacked Japan | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf7…aba5backed Japan | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed Japan | 7c | 244.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 183 | 42.6%78 W · 105 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9a…3487backed Japan | 10c | 224$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 25 | 84%21 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Japan | 10c | 221.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ba…faecbacked Japan | 10c | 218.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Japan | 5c | 209.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Japan | 12c | 209.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 840 | 50.1%421 W · 419 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Japan | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…5ed7backed Japan | 9c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…9cb3backed Japan | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Japan | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Japan | 13c | 189$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Japan | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Japan | 7c | 143.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 411 | 33.8%139 W · 272 L | -28.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Japan | 10c | 139.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…66f9backed Japan | 10c | 138.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…bc81backed Japan | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Japan | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6da8…d660backed Japan | 14c | 103.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c4…733ebacked Japan | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.