Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Lafayette Leopards vs. Army Black Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3ba167841a1a604b27f5f0adb4a1f8ef291d56f046dae13f23cc0ad02b49499
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lafayette Leopardsof Lafayette Leopards, Army Black Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Army Black Knights | 47c | 3,353$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.76 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lafayette Leopards | 52c | 2,865$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.41 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Army Black Knights | 36c | 2,386$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.2 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Lafayette Leopards | 53c | 2,163$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.02 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Army Black Knights | 35c | 1,967$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.77 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Army Black Knights | 34c | 1,684$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.75 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Lafayette Leopards | 73c | 1,559$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.59 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Army Black Knights | 50c | 931$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.49 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Lafayette Leopards | 49c | 698.23$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.62 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Army Black Knights | 21c | 697.94$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.71 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Army Black Knights | 3c | 626.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Lafayette Leopards | 67c | 570.57$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.29 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Lafayette Leopards | 54c | 544$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.24 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Army Black Knights | 32c | 510.75$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.44 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Army Black Knights | 50c | 504.47$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.1 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Army Black Knights | 32c | 497.17$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.15 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Lafayette Leopards | 50c | 460$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Army Black Knights | 45c | 391.72$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.2 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…eb6abacked Lafayette Leopards | 53c | 346.52$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.42 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Army Black Knights | 52c | 325.89$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.34 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lafayette Leopards | 52c | 311.31$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.43 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Army Black Knights | 49c | 291.39$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.78 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Lafayette Leopards | 55c | 286$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.76 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Lafayette Leopards | 52c | 276.84$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Army Black Knights | 45c | 275.91$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.52 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lafayette Leopards | 48c | 270.63$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.55 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Army Black Knights | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Lafayette Leopards | 48c | 204.05$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.87 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Lafayette Leopards | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Army Black Knights | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Army Black Knights | 30c | 179.56$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Lafayette Leopards | 51c | 170.1$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…3376backed Lafayette Leopards | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Army Black Knights | 47c | 166.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.19 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Lafayette Leopards | 66c | 145.98$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Lafayette Leopards | 49c | 138.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.46 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Lafayette Leopards | 59c | 135.5$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.89 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Lafayette Leopards | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…ecbfbacked Lafayette Leopards | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Army Black Knights | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Army Black Knights | 59c | 119.02$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.22 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Lafayette Leopards | 52c | 115.23$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.79 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…a4cdbacked Lafayette Leopards | 58c | 114.05$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Lafayette Leopards | 50c | 109.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Lafayette Leopards | 58c | 105$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Army Black Knights | 41c | 99.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Lafayette Leopards | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…b132backed Army Black Knights | 33c | 87.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Army Black Knights | 51c | 85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed Army Black Knights | 52c | 81.18$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Lafayette Leopards | 59c | 63.93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Lafayette Leopards | 64c | 62.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Army Black Knights | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lafayette Leopards | 51c | 54.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Army Black Knights | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Lafayette Leopards | 48c | 44.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Lafayette Leopards | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Lafayette Leopards | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Lafayette Leopards | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9a…3487backed Lafayette Leopards | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lafayette Leopards | 51c | 29.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Army Black Knights | 48c | 29.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Army Black Knights | 44c | 27.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Lafayette Leopards | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Lafayette Leopards | 69c | 19.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lafayette Leopards vs. Army Black Knightsthis page
- Lafayette Leopards vs. Army Black Knights: O/U 142.5Under won
- Lafayette Leopards vs. Army Black Knights: O/U 143.5Under won
- Spread: Lafayette Leopards (-1.5)Lafayette Leopards won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.