Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93137e548209f7dfd0808a7b55f0689ca5d484c7177204f1337a433652458e60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 1,281$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.78 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 65c | 1,110$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.46 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x00a3…575cbacked Yes | 46c | 1,084$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 76c | 960.55$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.95 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 25c | 868.34$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.34 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 27c | 481.48$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.48 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 73c | 431$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.63 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 27c | 394.55$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.02 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked Yes | 49c | 333.31$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.33 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 10c | 299.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 23c | 226$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 37c | 200.03$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.02 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 198.7$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.92 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 38c | 164.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…8c81backed Yes | 25c | 160.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.21 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 26c | 150$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 71c | 133.21$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.58 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 68c | 132.56$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.44 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 47c | 126.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.44 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +79%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.45 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 28c | 72.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Yes | 25c | 72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Yes | 28c | 72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +5.0wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 19c | 69.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.85 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed Yes | 31c | 69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 78c | 68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Yes | 70c | 60.19$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 24c | 53.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 25c | 49.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 28c | 42.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 39c | 39.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 38c | 31.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9a…3487backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…1e4bbacked No | 76c | 15.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Celtic FC win on 2026-01-25?No won
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-01-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.