CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: EPG Family vs Oxuji Esports (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5318f6bec075a2ab92d88a97276c0e2579e24aa69a99a5abbfcf24d41139c6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EPG Familyof EPG Family, Oxuji Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dbc…907abacked Oxuji Esports | 36c | 2,718$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b7…d208backed EPG Family | 64c | 1,707$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…220cbacked EPG Family | 64c | 1,236$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +134.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oxuji Esports | 12c | 1,219$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.9 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc8…d1dabacked EPG Family | 64c | 1,011$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624f…7592backed Oxuji Esports | 36c | 958$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad01…5d1fbacked Oxuji Esports | 36c | 803$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Oxuji Esports | 40c | 799.98$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc86…f1a6backed Oxuji Esports | 39c | 751$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee78…094fbacked EPG Family | 64c | 718$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +129.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…5290backed Oxuji Esports | 36c | 697$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…284fbacked Oxuji Esports | 41c | 650$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x647e…92f5backed Oxuji Esports | 36c | 629$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b3…a026backed Oxuji Esports | 37c | 615$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27dd…0ce9backed Oxuji Esports | 39c | 610$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…7d14backed Oxuji Esports | 36c | 607$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…4eb8backed EPG Family | 64c | 569$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…a43dbacked EPG Family | 70c | 515.25$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cc…6afcbacked EPG Family | 64c | 476$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a99…cedcbacked EPG Family | 61c | 441$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Oxuji Esports | 39c | 357.31$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.63 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa874…3affbacked Oxuji Esports | 37c | 345$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked EPG Family | 65c | 334.31$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.01 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a43…61d9backed EPG Family | 64c | 327$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…19ffbacked EPG Family | 63c | 313$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9258…5237backed EPG Family | 61c | 313$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe04e…9e28backed EPG Family | 61c | 310$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…b30abacked EPG Family | 63c | 302$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0b…c8acbacked Oxuji Esports | 38c | 301$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…4b56backed EPG Family | 61c | 297$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…aecebacked EPG Family | 64c | 240$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb20…013ebacked EPG Family | 63c | 220$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Oxuji Esports | 35c | 204.33$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.51 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Oxuji Esports | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afc…82f6backed EPG Family | 62c | 186$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…0acbbacked Oxuji Esports | 41c | 145.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcf…3123backed EPG Family | 64c | 128$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed18…315cbacked EPG Family | 63c | 125$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf12e…ca08backed EPG Family | 62c | 115$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed EPG Family | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked EPG Family | 76c | 87.6$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Oxuji Esports | 25c | 78.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…7a59backed Oxuji Esports | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Oxuji Esports | 35c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed EPG Family | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked EPG Family | 60c | 40.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Oxuji Esports | 38c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9a…3487backed EPG Family | 59c | 24.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a5…64fabacked EPG Family | 64c | 17.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: EPG Family vs Oxuji Esports (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: EPG Family vs Oxuji Esports - Map 1 WinnerEPG Family won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.